簡(jiǎn)介：隨著全球經(jīng)濟(jì)一體化的發(fā)展，世界貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)和方式也在不斷調(diào)整創(chuàng)新，以適應(yīng)新的發(fā)展趨勢(shì)和發(fā)展要求。由WTO的“多國(guó)貿(mào)易”結(jié)構(gòu)向FTAFREETRADEAGREEMENT“區(qū)域結(jié)構(gòu)”轉(zhuǎn)變，正體現(xiàn)了當(dāng)今世界貿(mào)易往來(lái)的新特點(diǎn)。通過FTA穩(wěn)定地進(jìn)行海外市場(chǎng)的擴(kuò)張，是發(fā)展國(guó)際貿(mào)易，增強(qiáng)國(guó)際間經(jīng)濟(jì)文化合作的有效途徑。作為轉(zhuǎn)型期間的中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)，在漸進(jìn)式開放的過程中，利用地理、文化、歷史、社會(huì)等自然優(yōu)勢(shì)，從增強(qiáng)周邊區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)合作開始，有重點(diǎn)地開展發(fā)散性經(jīng)貿(mào)合作，具有重要的戰(zhàn)略意義。近年來(lái)，包括韓國(guó)、中國(guó)、日本在內(nèi)的東亞之間的區(qū)域內(nèi)交流的擴(kuò)大和經(jīng)濟(jì)合作不斷加強(qiáng)，尤其是中國(guó)與韓國(guó)的經(jīng)貿(mào)關(guān)系更加密切。目前，中國(guó)已經(jīng)超過美國(guó)成為韓國(guó)最大的貿(mào)易伙伴，2007年韓中雙邊貿(mào)易額超過1420億美元。其中，從中國(guó)進(jìn)口額為612億美元，占韓國(guó)總進(jìn)口額的177％。同時(shí)，韓國(guó)對(duì)中國(guó)的直接投資也大幅增長(zhǎng)到約3229億美元。韓中的FTA合作作為兩國(guó)長(zhǎng)期經(jīng)濟(jì)合作的一環(huán)。本文作者是在中國(guó)學(xué)習(xí)的韓國(guó)留學(xué)生，因此希望能夠從一個(gè)全新的視角，來(lái)對(duì)韓中兩國(guó)的經(jīng)濟(jì)貿(mào)易關(guān)系，特別是韓中自由貿(mào)易區(qū)的發(fā)展作一個(gè)專門、深入的研究。本文首先闡述了自由貿(mào)易協(xié)定的內(nèi)容、意義、效果以及目前世界各國(guó)對(duì)此協(xié)定簽署狀況，由于韓中兩國(guó)自由貿(mào)易協(xié)定還處于研究磋商過程，尚未正式簽訂，因此本文重點(diǎn)結(jié)合了韓中兩國(guó)經(jīng)貿(mào)關(guān)系的現(xiàn)狀、特性和發(fā)展趨勢(shì)，詳細(xì)分析了韓中自由貿(mào)易協(xié)定簽定的必要性和可行性。與以往學(xué)術(shù)理論界單純的理論分析不同，本文的最大特點(diǎn)和創(chuàng)新之處在于根據(jù)韓中兩國(guó)的貿(mào)易特點(diǎn)，在對(duì)以往研究進(jìn)行系統(tǒng)整理的基礎(chǔ)上，從宏觀和微觀兩個(gè)角度分別著手，一方面從整體上討論了韓中兩國(guó)自由貿(mào)易的可能性以及推動(dòng)效果，另一方面選擇了具有代表性的制造業(yè)、農(nóng)水產(chǎn)業(yè)和服務(wù)業(yè)，進(jìn)行了行業(yè)層面的研究，具體詳細(xì)的分析了韓中自由貿(mào)易協(xié)定所可能帶來(lái)的經(jīng)濟(jì)影響和效果。最后，提出了相應(yīng)的政策建議和保障措施。

簡(jiǎn)介：中圖分類號(hào)UDC學(xué)校代碼10055密級(jí)公開高媳犬淫博／碩士學(xué)位論文低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)對(duì)中國(guó)對(duì)外貿(mào)易的影響及對(duì)策分析論文作者周斌答辯委員會(huì)主席王墊紅南開大學(xué)研究生院二OO九年十二月南開大學(xué)學(xué)位論文原創(chuàng)性聲明本人鄭重聲明所呈交的學(xué)位論文，是本人在導(dǎo)師指導(dǎo)下進(jìn)行研究工作所取得的研究成果。除文中已經(jīng)注明引用的內(nèi)容外，本學(xué)位論文的研究成果不包含任何他人創(chuàng)作的、已公開發(fā)表或者沒有公開發(fā)表的作品的內(nèi)容。對(duì)本論文所涉及的研究工作做出貢獻(xiàn)的其他個(gè)人和集體，均已在文中以明確方式標(biāo)明。本學(xué)位論文原創(chuàng)性聲明的法律責(zé)任由本人承擔(dān)。學(xué)位論文作者簽名厘基2010年5月1日非公開學(xué)位論文標(biāo)注說明根據(jù)南開大學(xué)有關(guān)規(guī)定，非公開學(xué)位論文須經(jīng)指導(dǎo)教師同意、作者本人申請(qǐng)和相關(guān)部門批準(zhǔn)方能標(biāo)注。未經(jīng)批準(zhǔn)的均為公開學(xué)位論文，公開學(xué)位論文本說明為空白。論文題目低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)對(duì)中國(guó)對(duì)外貿(mào)易的影響及對(duì)策分析申請(qǐng)密級(jí)口限制≤2年口秘密≤10年口機(jī)密≤20年保密期限20年月日至20年月日審批表編批準(zhǔn)日20年月號(hào)期日限制★2年最長(zhǎng)2年，可少于2年秘密★10年最長(zhǎng)5年，可少于5年1二

簡(jiǎn)介：上海大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文開放經(jīng)濟(jì)下的技術(shù)性貿(mào)易壁壘研究以紡織業(yè)為例姓名向一丹申請(qǐng)學(xué)位級(jí)別碩士專業(yè)政治經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)指導(dǎo)教師翁志勇20080301上海大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文摘要隨著經(jīng)濟(jì)全球化和貿(mào)易自由化進(jìn)程的加快，國(guó)際貿(mào)易活動(dòng)中，以技術(shù)法規(guī)、技術(shù)標(biāo)準(zhǔn)、認(rèn)證制度、檢驗(yàn)制度為主要內(nèi)容的技術(shù)性貿(mào)易壁壘措施的影響和作用越來(lái)越大，正成為當(dāng)今世界最普遍、最棘手的貿(mào)易壁壘。根據(jù)加入WTO的協(xié)定，中國(guó)在2006年底已完全執(zhí)行入世承諾，這表明中國(guó)加入世貿(mào)組織的過渡期已經(jīng)結(jié)束。市場(chǎng)的全面開放，貿(mào)易順差的繼續(xù)擴(kuò)大，必將導(dǎo)致中外產(chǎn)品的競(jìng)爭(zhēng)愈演愈烈。這意味著，隨著WTO對(duì)關(guān)稅壁壘和傳統(tǒng)非關(guān)稅壁壘的成功削減，全球化的擴(kuò)散效應(yīng)將使得以技術(shù)性貿(mào)易壁壘為主的保護(hù)政策很有可能成為中國(guó)出口面臨的第一大非關(guān)稅壁壘。在中國(guó)不斷加強(qiáng)對(duì)外開放、實(shí)現(xiàn)經(jīng)濟(jì)轉(zhuǎn)型的重要時(shí)期，選此題作為碩士畢業(yè)論文，以具有行業(yè)代表性的江蘇省紡織業(yè)為例，其研究目的在于由點(diǎn)及面，深入分析中國(guó)紡織業(yè)遭受技術(shù)性貿(mào)易壁壘的現(xiàn)狀和原因，探索總結(jié)出應(yīng)對(duì)外國(guó)技術(shù)性貿(mào)易壁壘的有效策略，以期待有助于政府、行業(yè)協(xié)會(huì)、進(jìn)出口企業(yè)能認(rèn)清國(guó)際形勢(shì)和自身的優(yōu)勢(shì)與不足，應(yīng)對(duì)國(guó)際挑戰(zhàn)，在國(guó)際市場(chǎng)上走得更遠(yuǎn)、更好。此論文的完成具有一定的理論意義和實(shí)踐意義1，隨著國(guó)際市場(chǎng)的進(jìn)一步開放，關(guān)稅壁壘和傳統(tǒng)非關(guān)稅壁壘的作用將越來(lái)越弱，各國(guó)更加追捧具有廣泛性、合理性、隱蔽性、復(fù)雜性等眾多優(yōu)點(diǎn)的技術(shù)性貿(mào)易壁壘。2，目前國(guó)內(nèi)的研究主要集中在分析其特點(diǎn)、阻礙出口機(jī)制等，但大多泛泛而談，按行業(yè)分類的技術(shù)性貿(mào)易壁壘研究則集中在農(nóng)業(yè)方面，雖然紡織業(yè)在國(guó)際貿(mào)易中的地位舉足輕重，但理論界對(duì)紡織業(yè)的關(guān)注比較少，以一個(gè)具有代表性的省市作為切入點(diǎn)，更深入、更具體地來(lái)研究技術(shù)性貿(mào)易壁壘的影響和對(duì)策的更是較少的。3，近年來(lái)，隨著我國(guó)開放程度的不斷升級(jí)和貿(mào)易順差的繼續(xù)擴(kuò)大，國(guó)際競(jìng)爭(zhēng)者對(duì)我國(guó)的產(chǎn)品出口頻頻設(shè)障，通過研究紡織業(yè)面對(duì)復(fù)雜的技術(shù)性貿(mào)易壁壘所應(yīng)采取的措施，希望有助于從不同的層面入手，積極參與國(guó)際競(jìng)爭(zhēng)，應(yīng)對(duì)國(guó)際挑戰(zhàn)，具有較強(qiáng)的實(shí)踐意義。本文的創(chuàng)新之處首先是在中國(guó)加入WTO的過渡期期滿之時(shí)對(duì)這～問題進(jìn)行審視和研究，結(jié)合不斷變化的全球經(jīng)濟(jì)態(tài)勢(shì)和國(guó)際貿(mào)易環(huán)境以及中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)

簡(jiǎn)介：西安理工大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文陜西省出口貿(mào)易對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)影響的實(shí)證研究姓名鄢妮申請(qǐng)學(xué)位級(jí)別碩士專業(yè)企業(yè)管理指導(dǎo)教師張根能20080301TITLETHESTUDYONTHEINFLUENCEOFEXPORTTRADEONTHEECONOMICGROWTHOFSHAANXIMADORBUSINESSADMINISTRATIONNAMENIYANMENTORGENNENGZHANGABSTRACTSLGNATURESIGNATUREWHILEECONOMICGLOBALIZATIONANDINTEGRATIONHASBECOMEALLIRREVERSIBLETREND，THEREISNOTASINGLECOUNTRYORREGIONTHATCOULDBECOMPLETELYINDEPENDENTREGARDINGECONOMLCDEVELOPMENTINTERNATIONALTRADEISHIGHLYVALUEDWORLDWIDEASITENABLESCOUNTRIESORREGIONST0MAXIMIZETHEIRCOMPARATIVEADVANTAGES，WHICHLEADSTOOPTIMALRESOURCESALLOCATIONANDMUCHHIGHCREFFICIENCYAROUNDTHEGLOBEINPRACTICE，ITDOESPLAYALLIMPORTANTROLEANDPROVLDCGREATBENEFITSFORALMOSTALLCOUNTRIESCHINAHASMADEREMARKABLEACHIEVEMENTSINCLUDINGBOTHECONOMICANDINTERNATIONALTRADESINCEREFO冊(cè)鋤DOPENINGUPFORINSTANCE，F(xiàn)ORM2003TO2006，CHINAMAINTAINSA104％ANNUALGDPGROWTHRATEINRELATIVETOA49％ANNUALGROWTHRATEOVERALL，ANDITSTHETHIRDLARGESTCOUNTRIESFORFOURCONSECUTIVEYEARSINTERMSOFINTERNATIONALTRADEVOLUMEASAMATTEROFFACTIMEMATIONALTRADE，ESPECIALLYENORBLOUSEXPORTSWHICHLEADSTOHUGEINTERNATIONALTRADESURPLUSHASBECOMEMOREANDMOREIMPORTANTTOTHEOVERALLECONOMICDEVELOPMENTINCHINASPECIFICALLY，INTERNATIONALTRADEHASANEFFECTTHATACCOUNTSFORROUGHLY657％OFCHINA’SGDPIN2006。ASANINFLUENTIALPROVINCEINTERMSOFTOTALECONOMYVOLUME，SHAANXIHASAHIGHERTHANAVERAGEOVERALLGDPGROWTHRATEBUTALOWERTHANAVERAGEGDPPERCAPITANATIONALLYH0WEVER’SHAAILXI，SOVERALLECONOMYDEVELOPMENTANDPEOPLE’SLIVINGSTANDARDSSTILLHAVEABIGDISCREPANCYINCOMPARISONTOTHEEASTERNCOASTALAREAFORTUNATELYASCHINAHASENTEREDWTOANDTHEGRANDDEVELOPMENTSTRATEGYWITHINWESTERNAREAISINPROGRESS，ITSWOULDBEGREATFORSHAANXITOTAKEADVANTAGEOFTHESEOPPORTUNITIESTOACCELERATEITSECONOMICGROWTH，SPECIALLYTHROUGHEXPORTSINTHISARTICLE，WEDISCUSSEDTHEIMPORTANCEOFEXPORTSTOSHAANXI’SOVERALLECONOMYBASED0NDETAILEDRESEARCHESONNUMEROUSTHEORIESANDBOTHQUALITATIVEANDEMPIRICALANALYSISFIRSTLYWEREVIEWEDMANYTHEORIESREGARDINGECONOMICGROWTH，EXPORTS，ANDTHERELATIONSBETWEENTHEMSECONDLY，WEANALYZEDTHEPRESENTSTATUSOFSHAANXI’SECONOMYANDEXPORTSBY2

簡(jiǎn)介：廈門大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文我國(guó)工業(yè)部門進(jìn)口貿(mào)易的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)效應(yīng)及關(guān)稅政策分析姓名黃楠申請(qǐng)學(xué)位級(jí)別碩士專業(yè)國(guó)際貿(mào)易學(xué)指導(dǎo)教師黃建忠20080401ABSTRACTINTHEPASTMOSTSTUDIESONTHERELATIONSHIPBETWEENTRADEANDECONOMICGROWTHARETARGETEDATTOTALTRADEVOLUMEORTHEIMPACTOFNETEXPORTSONECONOMICGROWTH，、ⅣITLLLITTLEATTENTIONTOIMPORTTRADESINCECHINASFORMALENTRYTOTHEWTO，WTOPOSTTRANSITIONPEDODHASPASSEDFORFOURYEARSWITHTHESUBSTANTIALREDUCTIONOFTARIFFSANDNONTARIFFBARRIERS，THEGROWTHRATEOFIMPORTSHASGREATLYINCREASEDTHEREFORE，ITISESSENTIALTESEARCHTHEROLEANDINFLUENCEMECHANISMOFIMPORTTRADETOECONOMICGROWTHSYSTEMATICALLYANDDEEPLYHOWDOESIMPORTTRADEINFLUENCEECONOMICGROWTHINDIFFERENTINDUSTFIFLSECTORSENVIRONMENTHOWDOESCHINESEGOVERNMENTCONTROLANDGUIDEIMPORTTRADEBYMAKINGUSEOFTHEPOLICYOFTARIFFTRADEPROTECTIONMEANWHILE，WHATISTHEBASISOFCHINASMAKINGTHEINDUSTRIALSECTORTARIFFPOLICYUNDOUBTEDLYITISSIGNIFICANTFOROURCOUNTRYTOFORMULATEFURTHERANDADJUSTTHEINDUSTRIALSECTORTARIFFSTRUCTUREDIFFERINGFROMTHEECONOMICEFFECTSEMPIRICALANALYSISOFCOUNTRYANDREGIONALTRADEFROMAGEOGRAPHICALPOINTOFVIEWALONE，THISPAPERSTARTSARESEARCHFROMTHEINDUSTRIALSECTORPERSPECTIVEAFTERCOMPARINGANDANALYZINGTHEECONOMICEFFECTSOFIMPORTTRADEINDIFFERENTELEMENTINTENSIVEINDUSTRIALSECTORS，THEAUTHORINTRODUCESTRADELIBERALIZATIONMODELTOCARRYOUTAPOLITICALECONOMICANALYSISOFTHETARIFFPROTECTIONSTRUCTUREOFCHINA’SINDUSTRIALSECTORANDTESTSTHENATIONALINTERESTSHYPOTHESISMODEL”AND”INDUSTRIALSECTORINTERESTSOFHYPOTHESISMODEL”O(jiān)FTHETARIFFTRADEPROTECTIONSYSTEMSTHEEMPIRICALRESULTSSHOWASFOLLOWSFIRST，COMPAREDTOLABORANDCAPITALINTENSIVEINDUSTRIALSECTORTHEIMPORTTRADEOFTECHNOLOGYINTENSIVEINDUSTRIALSECTORSPLAYSAMORESIGNIFICANTROLEINCHINA’SECONOMICDEVELOPMENTSECOND，LABORINTENSIVESECTORSTENDTOCHOOSEHIGHTARIFFPROTECTIONINTHETRADEPOLICYMAKINGPROCESS，BUTTHECAPITALANDTECHNOLOGYINTENSIVESECTORSTENDTOCHOOSETHEFREETRADEPOLICYTHIRD，THEFOCUSOFCHINASGOVERNMENTINFORMULATINGTHETRADEPROTECTIONPOLICYISTRANSFERREDFROMTHEGROUPINTERESTSTOTHENATIONALINTERESTSGRADUALLYFINALLYRELEVANTPOLICIESANDSUGGESTIONSAREMADEONTHEBASISOFANALYSISOFTHECHINA’SIMPORTTRADEPROBLEMSKEYWORDSINDUSTRIALSECTOR；IMPORTTRADE；TARIFFPOLICY

簡(jiǎn)介：廈門大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文人力資本積累與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)基于中國(guó)出口貿(mào)易增長(zhǎng)的實(shí)證分析姓名林寧申請(qǐng)學(xué)位級(jí)別碩士專業(yè)西方經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)指導(dǎo)教師郭其友20080401ABSTRACTABSTRACTBOTHINDEVELOPEDCOUNTRIESANDDEVELOPINGCOUNTRIES，ECONOMICGROWTHISATANEXTREMELYIMPORTANTPOSITIONECONOMICGROWTHISTHEMOSTIMPORTANTSYMBOLANDPROCESSOFECONOMICALSUCCESSTHATONECOUNTRYCANMAKEECONOMISTSTHINKOFITASTHEMOSTCRUCIALISSUEGOVERNMENTSALLOVERTHECOUNTRYWORLDHAVEALWAYSPAIDATTENTIONTOTHEECONOMICGROWTHANDTRIEDTHEIRBESTTOSEARCHFORTHEWAYOFSUSTAINEDSTEADYGROWTHINTHE1980S，”NEWECONOMICGROWTHTHEORY”RISEDINWESTERNCOUNTRIES，THENTHEORETICALSTUDYOFECONOMICGROWTHHADCHANGEDTHECOREOFTHECLASSICALMODELISMODIFIEDINTHEPRODUCTIONFUNCTIONANDTHEKNOWLEDGEANDHUMANCAPITALINVESTMENTWEREADDEDINTHENEOCLASSICALPRODUCTIONFUNCTIONEXPERIENCEOFDEVELOPEDANDINDUSTRIALIZEDCOUNTRYHASPROVEDTHATHUMANCAPITALISTHEMAINDRIVEROFECONOMICGROWTHANDINVESTMENTINHUMANCAPITALACCUMULATIONISANIMPORTANTFOUNDATIONOFMAINTAININGSUSTAINEDECONOMICSTEADYGROWTHCHINAISFACINGTHEMODEOFECONOMICGROWTHFROMEXTENSIVETOINTENSIVE，THEECONOMICSYSTEMTOASOCIALISTMARKETECONOMYASWELLASCHANGESINTHECONTEXTOFACCESSIONTOTHEWTO，SOHOWTOACHIEVETHISINTHEPROCESSOFTRANSFORMINGTHEECONOMYTOMAINTAINSUSTAINEDANDRAPIDGROWTH，THEREISANURGENTNEEDTOSTUDYTHEPROBLEMSTHEVALUEOFTHISPAPERISANATTEMPTTOUSEECONOMETRICMODELANDANALYSISOFHUMANCAPITALONECONOMICGROWTHIMPACTANALYSISBYUSINGTHECHINESEDATATOEXPLAINTHEHUMANCAPITALACCUMULATIONONTHESIGNIFICANCEOFECONOMICGROWTH，DOMESTICANDFOREIGNSCHOLARSHAVEESTABLISHEDALOTOFCONSIDERABLEHUMANCAPITALACCUMULATIONANDEXPORTTRADERELATEDRESEARCHTHISPAPERUSESEXISTINGRESEARCHRESULTSANDCOMBINESTHESETHEORIES，ANDESTABLISHESHUMANCAPITALANDEXPORTTRADEIMPACTOFCHINASECONOMICGROWTHMODELFINALLYACCORDINGTOTHERESULTSOFEMPIRICALANALYSIS，THISPAPERPROMOTESCORRESPONDINGCOUNTERMEASURESTOIMPROVECHINA’SHUMANCAPITALACCUMULATIONKEYWORDSHUMANCAPITALACCUMULATION；EXPORTTRADE；ECONOMICGROWTH

簡(jiǎn)介：湖南大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文我國(guó)出口退稅影響出口貿(mào)易與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的理論及實(shí)證研究姓名段志順申請(qǐng)學(xué)位級(jí)別碩士專業(yè)世界經(jīng)濟(jì)指導(dǎo)教師祝樹金20071008ABSTRACTTHEEXPORTTAXREBATEPOLICYISAFINANCIALMEANSUSEDBYACOUNTRYTOENHANCETHECOMPETITIVENESSOFITSEXPORTPRODUCTSITREMAINSINCREASINGLYCONTROVERSIALINTHEORYFIELDASLONGASITISIMPLEMENTEDONEOFTHEVIEWSISTHATTHETHEEXPORTTAXREBATEPOLICYISANEUTRALTAXPOLICYTHATELIMINATESDISCRIMINATIONSINEXPORTTOACHIEVEATAXEQUITYANDBYCREATINGAFAIRMARKETOFCOMPETITION，ITBRINGSTHEPROFITSOFGLOBALRESOURCEALLOCATIONTOITSMAXIMUMWHILEACCORDINGTOTHEOTHERPOINTOFVIEW，THEEXPORTTAXREBATEPOLICYASAINCENTIVEPOLICY，COULDBEFORMULATEDINTODIFFERENTMODESBYTHEGOVERNMENTWITHINREASONABLELIMITSTOBACKUPTHEADJUSTMENTOFITSECONOMICSTRUCTUREANDTHECHANGEOFITSECONOMYGROWTHPATTENITSTRESSESTHEPOSITIVEPROMOTINGEFFECTOFTHEEXPORTTAXREBATEPOLICYHOWTOEVALUATETHEECONOMICEFFECTOFTHEEXPORTTAXREBATEFROMTHEQUANTATIVEASPECTANDUSEITEFFICIENTLYISAMEANINGFULSUBJECTCONCERNEDBYTHEGOVERNMENTANDTHEORYFIELDAFTERAHISTORICALREVIEWOVERTHE20YEAR’SEXPORTTAXREBATEPOLICYINCHINA，APRELIMILARYEXAMINATIONONTHEEFFECTFOLLOWINGTHEEXPORTTAXREBATEADJUSTMENTHASBEENMADEINTHISARTICLEFURTHERMORE，ALLANALYSISOFITSIMPACTOVERTHEEXPORTSANDECONOMYGROWTHISPERFORMEDFROMTHEPOINTOFITSSYSTEMANDCHANNELSCHARACTERISTICS，INCLUDINGITSINFLUENCEOVERTHECOSTBENEFIT，THEREVENUEANDITSIMPROVEMENTOFTHESTRUCTUREOFEXPORTPRODUCTSCONSIDERINGTHE“EXPORTFIRSTTAXREBATENEXT’’POLICYINCHINAANDTHEDEFERMENTEFFECTOFTHEPOLICYTHEHISTCRETICNATUREOFTHEVARIABLEINTHEEXPORTTAXREBATEISACCOUNTEDWHILEMAKINGTHEEMPIRICALANALYSISSOALLEMPIRICALPAAERNONTHEEXPORTTAXREBATE’SIMPACTOVERTHEEXPORTANDECONOMYGROWTHISESTABLISHEDNEXT，INREFERENCETOTHENATIONALTOTALDATAOF19892005，ALLEMPIRICALRESEARCHISIMPLEMENTED，ANDTHERESULTSHOWSTHESTRONGINCENTIVEIMPROVINGEFFECTOFEXPORTTAXREBATEOVERCHINA’SEXPORTANDECONOMYGROWTH，THEHISTCRETICNATUREOFITSINCENTIVEEFFECTINCHINAANDITSSTRONGERIMPACTONTHENEXTEXPORTTAXRATHERTHANONTHEPRESENTONEANDESSENTIALLYTHEREISARELEVANCEEFFECTAMONGTHEEXPORTTAXREBATE，THEEXPORTANDTHEECONOMYGROWTHINORDERTOAVOIDTHEVARIABLEENDOPHYTISMPROBLEMOFADAPTINGTHEMONOEQUATIONANALYSISBYTHOSEEXISTINGRESEARCHES，ASIMULTANEOUSEQUATIONSETAMONGTHEMISMADEINTHEEMPIRICALANALYSISANDTHERESULTSHOWSTHESAMEASTHEFORMERWITHAVIEWTOTHEREGIONALINBALANCEOFTRADEDEVELOPMENTANDECONOMYGROWTH，AFURTHEREMPIRICALRESEARCHISMADEABOUT111

簡(jiǎn)介：1技術(shù)性貿(mào)易壁壘的經(jīng)濟(jì)效應(yīng)分析及我國(guó)的應(yīng)對(duì)措施摘要隨著全球經(jīng)濟(jì)一體化的進(jìn)程不斷加快，當(dāng)今國(guó)際貿(mào)易競(jìng)爭(zhēng)日趨激烈。與此同時(shí)，WTO協(xié)調(diào)機(jī)制也在發(fā)揮著顯著作用。隨著WTO前八輪談判的完成，關(guān)稅、配額、許可證等傳統(tǒng)貿(mào)易壁壘的作用逐漸弱化，技術(shù)性貿(mào)易壁壘作為新型貿(mào)易壁壘的代表，以其更為靈活、隱蔽和復(fù)雜的特點(diǎn)得到迅速發(fā)展，逐漸取代傳統(tǒng)貿(mào)易壁壘，成為國(guó)際貿(mào)易中非關(guān)稅壁壘的主要形式和重要的貿(mào)易保護(hù)手段之一。我國(guó)自加入WTO以后，對(duì)外貿(mào)易迅猛增長(zhǎng)，同時(shí)也因受到國(guó)際技術(shù)性貿(mào)易壁壘影響而遭重大損失。因此，加強(qiáng)對(duì)技術(shù)性貿(mào)易壁壘的研究，掌握其中的特點(diǎn)、規(guī)律，積極探索突破國(guó)外技術(shù)性貿(mào)易壁壘的有效途徑，建立符合我國(guó)利益的相關(guān)保護(hù)體系，對(duì)維護(hù)我國(guó)貿(mào)易和經(jīng)濟(jì)利益具有重要意義。本文在結(jié)構(gòu)上分為基礎(chǔ)理論研究、模型分析討論、提出政策建議三個(gè)部分第一部分，基礎(chǔ)理論研究，包含第1章與第2章。對(duì)技術(shù)性貿(mào)易壁壘在狹義和廣義兩個(gè)層面上作了區(qū)分，并以廣義角度的技術(shù)性貿(mào)易壁壘作為研究對(duì)象，回顧其產(chǎn)生發(fā)展的歷史進(jìn)程，分析了技術(shù)性貿(mào)易壁壘的主要表現(xiàn)形式和特點(diǎn)，論述了技術(shù)性貿(mào)易壁壘對(duì)我國(guó)貿(mào)易和經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的影響。第二部分，模型分析討論，包含第3章與第4章。首先建立局部均衡分析與一般均衡分析框架，對(duì)技術(shù)性貿(mào)易壁壘的濟(jì)效應(yīng)作定性的純理論探討。接下來(lái)從種類控制、數(shù)量控制和價(jià)格控制三個(gè)不同角度，對(duì)TBT經(jīng)濟(jì)效應(yīng)的作用機(jī)制進(jìn)行了討論。隨后建立計(jì)量模型，將GDP作為被解釋變量，并引入現(xiàn)實(shí)的貿(mào)易數(shù)據(jù)，利用EVIEWS軟件對(duì)技術(shù)性貿(mào)易壁壘的經(jīng)濟(jì)效應(yīng)作定量研究，在技術(shù)性貿(mào)易壁壘通報(bào)數(shù)和GDP增量間建立了數(shù)量聯(lián)系，從實(shí)證分析的角度評(píng)估了技術(shù)性貿(mào)易壁壘的經(jīng)濟(jì)效應(yīng)，驗(yàn)證了理論分析的結(jié)論，并嘗試剖析了其中的原因。第三部分，集中在第5章提出政策建議。通過建立博弈分析模型，為提出應(yīng)對(duì)技術(shù)性貿(mào)易壁壘影響的措施、建議確立了理論基礎(chǔ)。隨后根據(jù)我國(guó)的國(guó)情和經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展?fàn)顩r，從政府、行業(yè)和企業(yè)三個(gè)層面就我國(guó)應(yīng)對(duì)技術(shù)性貿(mào)易壁壘提出了措施建議。關(guān)鍵詞技術(shù)性貿(mào)易壁壘經(jīng)濟(jì)效應(yīng)分析均衡計(jì)量博弈模型關(guān)鍵詞技術(shù)性貿(mào)易壁壘經(jīng)濟(jì)效應(yīng)分析均衡計(jì)量博弈模型

簡(jiǎn)介：山東大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文對(duì)外貿(mào)易、外商直接投資與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)基于山東省數(shù)據(jù)的實(shí)證研究姓名張倩申請(qǐng)學(xué)位級(jí)別碩士專業(yè)國(guó)際貿(mào)易學(xué)指導(dǎo)教師劉慶林20080412山東大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文ABSTRACTFOREIGNDIERCTINVESMTENTFDIANDEXPORTAREUSUALLYCONSIDERED弱THEACTIVATOROFTHEECONOMICGROWTH，THERELATIONSHIPAMONGTHEMHASLONGBEENASUBJECTOFMUCHINTERESTOFINTERNATIONALSCHOLARSSINCEREFORMANDOPENINGUP，INCHINATHEEXPORTPROMOTIONPOLICYWASPURSED，THESCALEOFINTERNATIONALTRADEEXPANDED，ANDTHEDEPENDENCEUPONTHEFOREIGNTRADEENLARGED；ASERIESOFPOLICIESWEREPUBLISHEDTOATTRACTFOREIGNINVESTMENT，F(xiàn)DIHASBECOMETHEFUNDAMENTALMODEOFTHEUSEOFEXTEMALRESOURCESTHEEXPANSIONOFINTERNATIONALTRADEANDFDIHASPLAYEDALLIMPORTANTROLEINDOMESTICECONOMICGROWTHTHISARTICLETAKESTHEEXPORT，F(xiàn)DIANDECONOMICGROWTHASTHESTUDYFOCUS，ACOMBINATIONOFTHETHEORETICALANALYSISANDEMPIRICALRESEARCHANDECONOMETRICMODELINGMETHODSAREUSEDTORESEARCHTHERELATIONSHIPAMONGFDI，EXPORTANDTHEECONOMICGROWTHINSHANDONGPROVINCEINTHISPROGRESS，WECONSIDERTHESTATIONARYOFTHEDATE，ANDHAVECARRIEDONTHESTATIONARYINSPECTION，BYDOINGADFUNITTEST，COINETGRATEDTESTANDGRANGERCAUSALITYTESTONFDI，EXPORTANDGDP，ITCOMESTHATFDIANDEXPORTAREALLTHEGRANGERCAUSALITYOFECONOMICGROWTHFINALLYTHEARTICLEPROPOSESTHETHINKINGANDCOUNTERMEASUREFORSHANDONGPROVINCETODEVELOPFOREIGNTRADEANDGOONATTRACTINGFOREIGNDIRECTINVESTMENTASTHESTRATEGYTOPROMOTETHEECONOMICGROWTHKEYWORDEXPORT；FOREIGNDIRECTINVESTMENT；ECONOMICGROWTH；STATIONARYINSPECTION；GRANGERCAUSALITYTESTⅡ

簡(jiǎn)介：廈門大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文對(duì)外貿(mào)易與區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)關(guān)系研究基于區(qū)域面板數(shù)據(jù)分析姓名李云增申請(qǐng)學(xué)位級(jí)別碩士專業(yè)統(tǒng)計(jì)學(xué)指導(dǎo)教師陳珍珍20080301ABSTRACTTHERELATIONSHIPBETWEENINTERNATIONALTRADEANDECONOMICDEVELOPMENTHASBEENINDEPTHRESEARCHED，BUTMAINLYAREEMPIRICALANALYSESOFTIMESERIESDATAOFTHEENTIRECOUNTRYTILISPAPERWILLAPPLYPANELDATAMETHODSTOSTUDYTHERELATIONSHIPBETWEENINTERNATIONALTRADEANDREGIONALECONOMICDEVELOPMENTTHEPAPERFIRSTREVIEWSTHETHEORYABOUTRELATIONSHIPBETWEENFOREIGNTRADEANDECONOMICDEVELOPMENT111EPAPERUSESTHEMULTIPLYTHEORYOFCAIRNSANDPOINTSOFINNERTECHNOLOGYOFNEWCLASSICTHEORYTOSEPARATETHEDIFFERENTINFLUENCECHANNELS，ANDTHENANALYZETHEREASONSOFSUPPLYANDTHEDEMANDOFINTERNATIONALTRADEWHICHINFLUENCESTHEDEVELOPMENTOFREGIONECONOMYINTHESHORTTERM，INTERNATIONALTRADEPROMOTESECONOMICDEVELOPMENTTHROUGHEXPANDINGDOMESTICDEMANDINTHELONGTERM，THEIMPORTANDEXPORTTHROUGHTHEPROMOTIONOFLONGTERMTECHNOLOGICALADVANCESPROMOTEECONOMICGROWTHTHEPAPERESTABLISHESTHEEMPIRICALMODELSABOUTTHERELATIONSHIPBETWEENINTERNATIONALTRADEANDRE西ONALECONOMICGROWTH，BASEDONTHENEWCLASSICALTHEORYOFECONOMICGROWTHANDTHENBASEDONCHINASEASTERN，CENTRALANDWESTERNPROVINCIALDATACOINTEGRATIONTESTANDERRORCORRECTIONMODELRELATIONSHIPTHEPAPERWILLINDEPENDENTLYEXPORTTRADEANDECONOMICGROWTHTHEPAPERUSESPANELDATAUNITROOTTESLTOANALYSISTHESHORTTERMANDLONGTERMSTUDYTHERELATIONSHIPBETWEENIMPORT，111ERESULTSSHOWTHATTHERESPECTIVERELATIONSHIPSBETWEENTHEEASTEM，CENTRALANDWESTERNFOREIGNTRADEANDECONOMICGROWTHHAVEOBVIOUSDIFFERENCESINTHEEASTERNREGIONRELATIONSHIPBETWEENIMPORTEXPORTTRADEANDECONOMICGROWTHISNOTONLYASIGNIFICANTANDLONGTERMEQUILIBRIUMONE，BUTALSOASHORTTERMCAUSALONEINTHECENTRALREGIONIMPORTEXPORTTRADEANDECONOMICGROWTHHAVEONEWAYCAUSALRELATIONSHIP，THATIS，EXPORTTRADEGUIDESLONGTERMECONOMICGROWTH，BUTNOSIGNIFICANTSHORTTERMCAUSALRELATIONSHIPINTHEWESTERNREGIONFOREIGNTRADEANDECONOMICGROWTHDONOTHAVELONGTERMCAUSALRELATIONSHIPANDTHECONTRIBUTIONSOFTHEDEVELOPMENTOFFOREIGNTRADETOECONOMICGROWTHHAVEREGIONALDIFFERENCES，ANDOFTHEFLEXIBILITYOFFOREIGNTRADEGROWTHTOECONOMICGROWTHINTHEEASTERNREGIONAREHIGHERTHANTHOSEINTHECENTRALANDWESTERNREGIONSNLEFLEXIBILITYOFEXPORTGROWTHTOECONOMICSGROWTHISHIGHERTHANIMPORTTHISPAPERDEMONSTRATESTHEFOLLOWINGMAININNOVATIONSFIRST，THEPAPERSTUDIESTHERELATIONSHIPSAMONGEXPORT，IMPORTANDTHEEASTERNCENTRALANDWESTERNECONOMICGROWTHINTHESHORTANDLONGTERMAPPLYINGPANELDATACOINTEGRATIONANALYSIS，UNITROOTTESTANDERRORCORRECTIONMODELSECOND，THEPAPERSYSTEMATICALLYCOMPARESTHERELATIONSBETWEENTHEDEVELOPMENTOFFOREIGNTRADEANDTHEECONOMICSGROWTHOFTHEEASTERNCENTRALANDWESTERNREGIONS硼1ECONCLUSIONOFTHESTUDYSHOWSTHATTHEREARESIGNIFICANTDIFFERENCESBETWEENTHEFOREIGNTRADEDEVELOPMENTANDREGIONALECONOMICGROWTHKEYWORDSINTERNATIONALTRADE；ECONOMICSGROWTH；PANELDATA

簡(jiǎn)介：中國(guó)海洋大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文103區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)合作框架下的產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易研究姓名關(guān)歡歡申請(qǐng)學(xué)位級(jí)別碩士專業(yè)國(guó)際貿(mào)易學(xué)指導(dǎo)教師邵桂蘭戴桂林20080601向，在這一部分中還將產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易的相關(guān)概念作出界定。第三部分103地區(qū)產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易現(xiàn)狀及效應(yīng)分析。利用統(tǒng)計(jì)數(shù)字對(duì)103地區(qū)產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易形勢(shì)進(jìn)行實(shí)證分析，并對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易產(chǎn)生的幾方面效應(yīng)作出總結(jié)。第四部分103國(guó)家產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易因素分析及實(shí)證檢驗(yàn)。對(duì)促成產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易的因素進(jìn)行分析，并利用回歸模型說明中國(guó)與區(qū)內(nèi)幾個(gè)國(guó)家的產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易的影響因素并分析原因。第五部分政策建議。首先說明中國(guó)發(fā)展區(qū)內(nèi)產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易的必要性及當(dāng)前發(fā)展產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易面臨的機(jī)遇與挑戰(zhàn)，最后提出在103地區(qū)產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易發(fā)展的大形勢(shì)下，中國(guó)應(yīng)該采取的對(duì)策。關(guān)鍵詞產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易，103區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)合作，產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)

簡(jiǎn)介：東北師范大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文經(jīng)濟(jì)全球化背景下中國(guó)東盟自由貿(mào)易區(qū)建設(shè)展論姓名賈健鵬申請(qǐng)學(xué)位級(jí)別碩士專業(yè)國(guó)際政治指導(dǎo)教師劉彤20080501ABSTRACTSINCETHE1990S，THE910BALIZATIONOFECONOMYANDTHEINTE伊ATIONOFREGIONALECONOMYINTHEWORLDHAVEBEENEXPANDINGR印IDLYWHICHDEMONSTRATESAMOMENTUIILOFPOWERMLDEVELOPMENT，ANDUNDOUBTEDLYHAVEBECOMETHETWOM句ORMAINTENDENCIESINTHE910BALLYECONOMICDEVELOPMENTT0SEEKFORMUCHLARGERDEVELOPMENTSPACEBYESTABLISHINGV撕OUSPREFERENTIALBENEFITSINECONOMICTREADING，ESPECIALLYWITHTHECOOPERATORSFORMEFREETRADEZONES，HASBECOMEANIMPORTANTP01ITICALCHOICEFORMOSTNATIONSINTHEWORLDNTHEFORTHMEETIN2OFTHELEADERSFROMASSOCIATIONOFSOUTHEASTASIANNATIONSANDCHINA，PREMIERZHURON西IPROPOSEDTOESTABLISHCHINAASSOCIATIONOFSOUMEASTASIANNATIONSFREETRADEAREA，WHICHAROUSEDUNIVERSALRECOGNITIONOFALLMENATIONSINTHEASSOCIATIONOFSOUTHEASTASIANNATIONSLEADERSF的MCHINAANDMEASSOCIATIONOFSOUTHEASTASIANNATIONSACLLIEVEDTHEMUTUALCONSENSUSABOUTSTREN舀HENINGTHECOOPERATIONONBOTHSIDESINTHENEWCENTU拶INTHEFORTHMEETINGPERIODINNOVEMBER，2001，RES01VINGTOESTABLISHTHECHINAASSOCIATIONOFSOUTHEASTASIANNATIONSFREE1YADEAREAINTHECOMINGDECADES，H1NOVEMBER2002，PREMIERZHURON萄IANDME1EADERSOF1ONATIONS矗OMTHEASSOCIATIONOFSOUTHEASTASIANNATIONSSIGNED”CHINESEANDTHEASSOCIATIONOFSOUTHEASTASIANNATION’SFR鋤EA黟E鋤ENTONTHECOMPREHENSIVECOOPERATIONINECONOMY”ARERATTENDINGTHEASSOCIATIONOFSOUTHEASTASIALLNATIONSANDCHINESELEADERS’CONFERENCE，DE五NINGMEBASIC行AMEOFTHECHINAASSOCIATIONOFSOUMEASTASIANNATIONSFREETRADEAREA，SINCEMANCHINASTANEDTHEESTABLISHMENT丘EETRADEAREANEGOTJATIONSWITHTHEASSOCIATIONOFSOUTHEASTASIANNATIONS，THEESTABLISHMENTOFTHECHINAASSOCIATIONOFSOUTHEASTASIANNATIONSFREETRADEAREAINCREASIN91YCAUSESCLOSERECONOMIC1INKSBE船EENCHINAA11DTHEASSOCIATIONOFSOUTHEASTASIANNATIONS，ANDPROMOTEDTHECOOPERATIONANDMEMUTUALTMSTINMEP01ITICALA11DTHESECURITYDOMAINS，ALSOPLAYSAPOSITIVEROLEINPEACE，THESTABILI￡YANDSECUTYINTHEEAST心EAITISTHENRST行EETRADEO略ANIZATIONPROPOSEDINITIATIVELYBYC11INAINASIA，AILDITWILLHELPCHINAGAINMUCHPRECIOUSLYSUCCESS如1EXP謝ENCETOPANICIPATEINORESTABLISHBILALERALORREGIONALECONOMICORGALLIZATIONSINME向TUREBASEDONTHEF如T，THEPRESENTTHESISCHOOSESTHECONSTRUC￡IONOFC場(chǎng)NAASSOCIATIONOFSOUTHEASTASIANNATIONSFREETRADEAREASA11DTHEPROSPECTSOFITSDEVELOPMENTINTHEMTUREASTHERESEARCHOBJECT，COMBININGTHEMACROSCOPIEASSURANCEWITHTHEMICROSTUDXANDANALYZINGTHEBACKGROUNDOFITSCONSNLLCTION，MECONTENTOFITSCOOPERATIONANDTHEACHIEVEMENTITHASGAINED，MAINLYMALINGTHERESEARCH逾THEADVANTAG司FACTSOFTHECONSTMCTIONOFCHINAASSOCIATIONOFSOUTHEASTASIANNATIONSFREE1’RADEAREASTHETROUBLESWHICHWIILPOSSIBLYAPPEARANDTHEPOSPEETSDUNGITSDEVEIOPMEN￡，ANDPZR。POSINGSOMESUGGESTIONSABOUTHOWCHINASHOULDTAKESOMEMEASURESINTHEMTUREKEYWORDSECONOMIC910BALIZATION；HLTE伊ATIONOFMERE百ONALECONOMIES；FREETRADEAREA；MTLOOKOFPROSPECTII

簡(jiǎn)介：華中農(nóng)業(yè)大學(xué)博士學(xué)位論文經(jīng)濟(jì)全球化下的中國(guó)大豆產(chǎn)業(yè)價(jià)格、供給與貿(mào)易姓名喻翠玲申請(qǐng)學(xué)位級(jí)別博士專業(yè)農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)管理指導(dǎo)教師馮中朝20060601摘要實(shí)存在協(xié)整關(guān)系，另一方面表明了二者的長(zhǎng)期均衡關(guān)系是，國(guó)際大豆市場(chǎng)價(jià)格變動(dòng)是中國(guó)市場(chǎng)大豆價(jià)格變動(dòng)的原因。國(guó)內(nèi)大豆市場(chǎng)價(jià)格和美國(guó)海灣市場(chǎng)的誤差修正模型估計(jì)結(jié)果中，均衡修正項(xiàng)估計(jì)系數(shù)的值界于01917和O1210之間，國(guó)內(nèi)市場(chǎng)價(jià)格與CBOT大豆期貨價(jià)格的估計(jì)結(jié)果中回歸均衡修正項(xiàng)的系數(shù)值在02110和O0770之間。他們的值都遠(yuǎn)離1和L，趨近于0。意味著受這兩組市場(chǎng)中一個(gè)市場(chǎng)受另一個(gè)市場(chǎng)的干擾，兩市場(chǎng)重新回到協(xié)整的速度很慢。也就是說，中國(guó)大豆市場(chǎng)和美國(guó)海灣市場(chǎng)以及CBOT期貨市場(chǎng)之間不存在短期整合關(guān)系。國(guó)內(nèi)各個(gè)大豆市場(chǎng)之間存在協(xié)整關(guān)系，是一體的。國(guó)際大豆市場(chǎng)價(jià)格變化領(lǐng)先于中國(guó)大豆市場(chǎng)價(jià)洛的變化。國(guó)際大豆市場(chǎng)價(jià)格對(duì)中國(guó)大豆市場(chǎng)價(jià)格具有格蘭杰意義上的因果關(guān)系。從短期來(lái)看。國(guó)際大豆市場(chǎng)價(jià)格的變化不會(huì)立刻引起中國(guó)國(guó)內(nèi)大豆市場(chǎng)價(jià)格的變化；中國(guó)大豆市場(chǎng)價(jià)格的短期變化對(duì)國(guó)際大豆市場(chǎng)的價(jià)格變化影響很小。如果國(guó)際大豆市場(chǎng)影響國(guó)內(nèi)市場(chǎng)，首先將影響產(chǎn)區(qū)市場(chǎng)，這個(gè)影響隨后會(huì)波及到中國(guó)整個(gè)大豆市場(chǎng)。中國(guó)大豆主產(chǎn)區(qū)主要分布在東北地區(qū)，且這些地區(qū)農(nóng)民種植大豆收入占整個(gè)家庭收入的很大比重，因此這些地區(qū)大豆種植農(nóng)戶的收入可能會(huì)受到國(guó)際市場(chǎng)的影響。另一個(gè)角度看，由于中國(guó)種植的大豆為非轉(zhuǎn)基因大豆，可利用歐盟、日本等地區(qū)對(duì)轉(zhuǎn)基因大豆的排斥而擴(kuò)大出口和國(guó)內(nèi)潛在的食用大豆市場(chǎng)增加消費(fèi)，因此這種影響會(huì)由于國(guó)外、國(guó)內(nèi)潛在巨大的市場(chǎng)而有所緩和。采用公因子分折技術(shù)將影響我國(guó)大豆產(chǎn)出增長(zhǎng)的各種因素可濃縮為土地面積、資本投入和政策制度三大影響因素，進(jìn)一步采用生產(chǎn)函數(shù)分析顯示，這三大因素對(duì)大豆產(chǎn)出增長(zhǎng)的重要性是依次遞減的，它們的生產(chǎn)彈性分別為0735、0290和0200。大豆播種面積每增加L％，就可以使大豆產(chǎn)量增長(zhǎng)0735％資本投入每增加L％，就可使大豆產(chǎn)量增加0290％政策制度對(duì)大豆產(chǎn)出的重要性次于土地和資本投入，排在第三位，這里政策制度的效應(yīng)主要體現(xiàn)為出售價(jià)格，農(nóng)戶負(fù)擔(dān)和商品率對(duì)大豆產(chǎn)出的綜合效應(yīng)。1991～2000年聞，大豆總產(chǎn)出增長(zhǎng)了57421％，土地面積增加使大豆產(chǎn)出增加68086％，資本投入對(duì)大豆產(chǎn)出的貢獻(xiàn)率為78877％，政策制度使大豆產(chǎn)出下降了0647％。1991～2000年問，我國(guó)大豆產(chǎn)出增長(zhǎng)主要得益于資本投入和土地面積的擴(kuò)大，我國(guó)大豆生產(chǎn)仍然處于依靠資本投入的數(shù)量型粗放經(jīng)營(yíng)狀態(tài)，大力提商大豆生產(chǎn)的科技進(jìn)步水平十分重要。由于政策制度因素中，農(nóng)戶負(fù)擔(dān)的效應(yīng)更為明顯，而農(nóng)戶負(fù)擔(dān)對(duì)大豆產(chǎn)出增長(zhǎng)有負(fù)面影響，所以這一時(shí)期政策制度的累積效應(yīng)對(duì)大豆產(chǎn)出表現(xiàn)為負(fù)。II

簡(jiǎn)介：東南大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文貝寧中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)貿(mào)易發(fā)展中心項(xiàng)目風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理研究姓名鄭榮慧申請(qǐng)學(xué)位級(jí)別碩士專業(yè)項(xiàng)目管理指導(dǎo)教師王海燕王東亞20080901RISKMANAGEMENTRESEARCHOFBENINCHINAECONOMICALTRADEDEVELOPMENTCENTERPROJECTGRADUATEZHENGRONGHUISUPERVISORWANGHAIYANSOUTHEASTUNIVERSITYABSTRACTALONGWITHECONOMICALGLOBALIZATIONSTEPQUICKENINGOURCOUNTRYMOREANDMOREMANYENTERPRISESSTARTTOWALKDEVELOPTHEOVERSEASMARKET，BUTTHEFOREIGNINVESTMENTEXISTENCEBIGRISKOURCOUNTRYTHEFOREIGNINVESTMENTDEFEATCASEFARISBIGGERTHANTHESUCCESSFULCASEATPRESENT，BUTCAUSESTHEDEFEATANIMPORTANTREASONISTHEINVESTORLACKSTHEEFFECTIVEMANAGEMENTTOTHEPROJECTRISKTHEFOREIGNINVESTMENTRISKHASCHARACTERISTICSANDSOONOBJECTIVITYUNIVERSALITYCOMPLEXITYANDMULTIPLICITYREGARDINGTHEFOREI印INVESTMENTENTERPRISE，HOWCARRIESONTHEEFFECTIVEPROJECTRISKMANAGEMENT，INMAYACCEPTENTERPRISE’SRISKCONTROLINTHESCOPE，OBTMNSTHEGREATESTINCOME，WILLBECOMEMOREANDMOREIMPORTANTTHISARTICLEISPRECISELYCONDUCTSTHERISKMANAGEMENTRESEARCHUNDERTHISPREMISETOTHEFOREIGNINVESTMENTPROJECTBENINCHINAECONOMICALTRADEDEVELOPMENTCENTERFIRSTBRIEFEDTHERISKMANAGEMENTDOMESTICANDFO商髓RESEARCHPRESENTSITUATIONTHENEMBARKSFROMTHERISKCONNOTATIONANDTHEESSENCETOTHEPROJECTRISKMANAGEMENTCHARACTERISTIC，THEPROJECTRISKRECOGNITION，THEAPPRAISAL，THECONTROLMETHODANDTHEFOREI驢INVESTMENTPROJECTRISKMANAGEMENTCHARACTERISTICCARRIESONTHEOUTLINETHENTHROUGHFOURSTEPSCONDUCTSTHEMANAGEMENTRESEARCHTOTHEBENINCHINAECONOMICALTRADEDEVELOPMENTCENTERPROJECTRISKONE，AFTERCONFESSEDTHEBENINCHINAECONOMICALTRADEDEVELOPMENTCENTERPROJECTSURVEYCARRIESONTHERECOGNITIONBRAINSTORMINGOFDELPHIMETHODUSINGTHEEXPERTINVESTIGATIONMETHODTOTHEPROJECTRISK，DISTINGUISHESRISKWHICHTHEPROJECTPOSSIBLYEXISTS；TWO，ACCORDINGTOTHERISKWHICHPOSSIBLYEXISTSESTABLISHESTHEMULTILEVELFUZZYQUALITYSYNTHETICEVALUATIONMODELTOTHEPROJECTTOCARRYONTHEOVERALLRISKASSESSMENT，THROUGHTHEMODELANALYSIS，CAUSESVARIOUSRISKSTARGETWEIGHTTOBEMOREOBJECTIVE，REDUCEDTHESUBJECTIVEFACTORINFLUENCEGREATLYPROVIDESAMOREACCURATEDATAFORTHEOVERALLRISKASSESSMENT；THREE，USESTHEEXPECTEDVALUEPROBABILITYANALYTICMETHODTOCARRYONTHEAPPRAISALTOTHEPROJECTECONOMICALRISK，THEECONOMICALRISKASSESSMENTRESULTDEMONSTRATIONPROJECTECONOMICEFFICIENCYISGOOD；FOURINVIEWOFTHEPROJECTDIFFERENTRISKPROPOSESTHECONCRETECONTROLMEASURESEPARATELYFINALLYDRAWSTHEIL

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