簡(jiǎn)介：湖南大學(xué)博士學(xué)位論文人民幣匯率、國(guó)際貿(mào)易與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的理論與經(jīng)驗(yàn)研究姓名劉鳳娟申請(qǐng)學(xué)位級(jí)別博士專業(yè)國(guó)際貿(mào)易學(xué)指導(dǎo)教師王耀中20070626人民幣事、國(guó)際貿(mào)易與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的理論與經(jīng)驗(yàn)研究口，與貿(mào)易平衡值呈負(fù)相關(guān)；人民幣實(shí)際有效匯率的波動(dòng)對(duì)出口貿(mào)易和進(jìn)口貿(mào)易都有負(fù)面的影響，且對(duì)出口貿(mào)易的影響要大于對(duì)進(jìn)口貿(mào)易的影響；而國(guó)內(nèi)外經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)均擴(kuò)大了以出口貿(mào)易與進(jìn)口貿(mào)易的比值所度量的貿(mào)易平衡值；同時(shí)采用了不依賴于VAR系統(tǒng)中變量順序的廣義脈沖響應(yīng)函數(shù)法和方差分解，結(jié)果表明盡管短期內(nèi)人民幣實(shí)際有效匯率會(huì)對(duì)貿(mào)易平衡產(chǎn)生負(fù)面的沖擊，匯率波動(dòng)對(duì)貿(mào)易平衡產(chǎn)生正的作用，但長(zhǎng)期內(nèi)實(shí)際有效匯率變化對(duì)貿(mào)易平衡的影響是不確定的，而匯率波動(dòng)對(duì)貿(mào)易平衡的沖擊作用是負(fù)的。采用我國(guó)地區(qū)的面板數(shù)據(jù)，結(jié)合面板單位根檢驗(yàn)和協(xié)整分析，進(jìn)一步證實(shí)了上述分析結(jié)果?？紤]到人民幣實(shí)際有效匯率、國(guó)際貿(mào)易和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)之間的內(nèi)生關(guān)系，論文建立了將三者內(nèi)生化的聯(lián)立方程模型，并采用不依賴擾動(dòng)項(xiàng)具體分布的廣義矩估計(jì)方法對(duì)模型進(jìn)行了估計(jì)。結(jié)果表明我國(guó)的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)存在收斂趨勢(shì)，但這種收斂趨勢(shì)隨著改革的深入而發(fā)生改變，而投資率和貿(mào)易平衡明顯促進(jìn)了我國(guó)的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)；而從匯率的決定因素來看，因?yàn)榘屠_一薩繆爾森效應(yīng)以及對(duì)資本的較強(qiáng)依賴性，國(guó)內(nèi)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)促進(jìn)實(shí)際有效匯率的升值，而投資率和國(guó)外經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)對(duì)人民幣實(shí)際有效匯率具有負(fù)的影響效應(yīng)，并且這種負(fù)向作用隨著時(shí)間趨勢(shì)在不斷減弱。遵循從局部到一般的研究思路，論文建立了動(dòng)態(tài)可計(jì)算一般均衡MCHUGE模型，細(xì)化了外貿(mào)與外資行為，構(gòu)建了新的閉合條件，進(jìn)一步考察了人民幣匯率穩(wěn)步升值對(duì)中國(guó)貿(mào)易發(fā)展和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的影響。外貿(mào)方面，人民幣升值會(huì)降低總的出口量，提高總的進(jìn)口量，增加貿(mào)易赤字，但長(zhǎng)期和短期，對(duì)不同產(chǎn)品的進(jìn)出口影響不一；外資方面，人民幣升值會(huì)降低我國(guó)的外匯儲(chǔ)備，加大我國(guó)對(duì)外直接投資，同時(shí)外商對(duì)我國(guó)的投資會(huì)增加；宏觀影響方面人民幣升值將促進(jìn)農(nóng)業(yè)、采礦業(yè)、公共服務(wù)、建筑業(yè)、服務(wù)業(yè)的產(chǎn)出，但在升值初期并不利于制造業(yè)的產(chǎn)出，但是總就業(yè)和總資本存量的增加最終會(huì)帶動(dòng)GDP的增長(zhǎng)。最后給出了論文的主要研究結(jié)論。關(guān)鍵詞人民幣匯率；實(shí)際有效匯率；外貿(mào)；外資；經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)Ⅲ

簡(jiǎn)介：蘇州大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文江蘇省加工貿(mào)易經(jīng)濟(jì)效應(yīng)研究姓名楊廣毅申請(qǐng)學(xué)位級(jí)別碩士專業(yè)世界經(jīng)濟(jì)指導(dǎo)教師袁建新20080401THESTUDY011ECONOMICEFFECTSOFPROCESSINGTRADEINJIANGSUPROVINCEABSTRACTTHESTUDYONECONOMICEFFECTSOFPROCESSINGTRADEINJIANRPROVINCEJLANGSURROVMCEABSTRACTSINCE1990S，PROCESSINGTRADEINJIANGSUMADEABIGPROGRESSINSCALEANDGRADE．ITHASBECOMETHEMAINTRADINGMODE．BUTPROCESSINGTRADEISMUCHCONTROVERSYFORALONGTIME．SOMEVIEWSTAKETHATPROCESSINGTRADEISACCORD、砘TLLTHEDEVELOPMENTOFPRODUCTIVITYANDPROMOTEINDUSTRYABILITYOFDEVELOPINGCOUNTRY；WHILESOMEVIEWSTAKETHATTHEOVERDEVELOPOFPROCESSINGTRADEHASBRINGABOUTPROBLEMSTOMARKETINGECONOMY．BUTHOWDOESPROCESSINGTRADEEFFECTECONOMYOFJIANGSUTHISDISSERTATIONOBJECTIVELYMAKESASTUDYONSOMEOFTHEECONOMICEFFECTSOFPROCESSINGTRADEINJIANGSU．STARTFROMTHEORIESONPROCESSINGTRADE，THEDISSERTATIONREVIEWSRESEARCHFRUITSBOTHHOMEANDABROAD．ANDSUBSEQUENTLY，STUDYONMAINEFFECTSWHICHINFLUENCEECONOMICGROWTHISCARRIEDOUT．THISPARTISTHEKEYPOINTOFTHEARTICLE．ONBASEOFEMPIRICALANALYSISRESULT，F(xiàn)ACTORSGOAGAINSTECONOMICAFFECTSPLAYARETYPICALLYANALYZED．FINALLY，POLICYSUGGESTIONSAIMEDTOPROMOTETHEECONOMICEFFECTSINJIANGSUAREPUTFORWARD．KEYWORDSPROCESSINGTRADEINJIANGSUECONOMICEFFECTSEMPIRICALANALYSISPOLICYPROPOSALIIWRITTENBYYANGGUANGYISUPERVISEDBYYUANJIANXIN

簡(jiǎn)介：華中師范大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文中越貿(mào)易的發(fā)展對(duì)越南經(jīng)濟(jì)的影響與進(jìn)一步發(fā)展的策略研究姓名葉燕君申請(qǐng)學(xué)位級(jí)別碩士專業(yè)西方經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)指導(dǎo)教師梅德平20080501ABSTRACTTHEREISA10NGHISTOD，OF脅NT衙仃ADEBE觚EENCHINAANDⅥE仃L鋤ESPECIALLYSINCEME1990SRELATIONSBEMEENTHETWOCOULLTRIESNON響1IZATIOMWITH廳EQUENTHI曲一LEVELVISITSBE觚EENT11E押OCOUNTRIES，BILATERAL仃ADITIONAL銜E11DSHIP，MUTUAL仃UST，EQUALITYA11DMUTUALLYBENE五CIALRELATIOLLSINV撕OUSFIELDSHAVEBE∞RAPIDDEVEL叩MENTINA11SECTORSANDATA11LEVELSOFCONTACTSTLLEINCREASIN酉Y丘EQUELLT，WIMTHETWOSIDESCONTINUET0DE印ENREFO咖ANDOPEFLINGUP，CCONOMICDEVELOPMENTFO徹ULATEDPREFERENTIALPOLICIES，BOMCOUM矗ES仃ADEGROWSUNCEASIN酉Y’ECONOMICDEVELOPMENTOFTHE鉚OCOUNTRIESHASPLAYEDA11IMPONANTR01ET11ISANICLE肋M(jìn)ANALYSISOFTHESINO一ⅥETIL鋤ESE仃ADERELATIONSAILDISSUESOFTHESTATUSQUO，WITLLRELATEDMODEL，ANALYSISOFTHECHINA一ⅥETLL鋤仃ADEDEVELOPMENTONTHEIMPACTOFTHEECONOMYOFVIETN鋤，ANDTOPROMOTETHEMTUREDEVELOPMENTOFSINOVIETNAMESETRADERELATEDSTRATEGYKEYWORDSSINO一Ⅵ咖鋤ESETRADE；ILLNUENCE；TWOC硎DORSOILECIRCLEOILEPOLE7I、ⅣOW證GS；1RADEDEVELOPMENTSTRATEGY

簡(jiǎn)介：經(jīng)濟(jì)全球化進(jìn)程的不斷推進(jìn)，世界經(jīng)濟(jì)日益融合，對(duì)外貿(mào)易在促進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的過程中發(fā)揮著越來越重要的作用。目前，美國(guó)是中國(guó)最大出口市場(chǎng)和第二大貿(mào)易伙伴，中美貿(mào)易發(fā)展對(duì)于中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)具有舉足輕重的意義。一方面，中國(guó)對(duì)美出口有助于中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)和增加就業(yè)；另一方面，自美進(jìn)口對(duì)中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)轉(zhuǎn)型的關(guān)鍵時(shí)期的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)效果更加明顯，不僅改善了資源配置效率，也為中國(guó)實(shí)現(xiàn)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)創(chuàng)造了基本條件。本文綜合應(yīng)用計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)、國(guó)際貿(mào)易學(xué)、產(chǎn)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)等學(xué)科的理論和方法，分析和研究了中美貿(mào)易對(duì)中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的直接貢獻(xiàn)和間接貢獻(xiàn)，得出了一些結(jié)論，并提出了相關(guān)對(duì)策建議。論文由六部分構(gòu)成，沿著“現(xiàn)狀介紹理論分析實(shí)證檢驗(yàn)對(duì)策建議”的邏輯順序展開。第一章導(dǎo)論。主要介紹文章選題、研究方法、研究現(xiàn)狀和論文結(jié)構(gòu)。第二章中美貿(mào)易發(fā)展及特點(diǎn)。簡(jiǎn)要回顧了中美之間貿(mào)易發(fā)展的歷史，介紹了中美之間貿(mào)易的現(xiàn)狀，并總結(jié)了中美之間商品貿(mào)易的結(jié)構(gòu)特征。第三章中美貿(mào)易與中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的理論分析。以經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)理論為基礎(chǔ)，系統(tǒng)、全面地對(duì)中美貿(mào)易、產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)之間的關(guān)系進(jìn)行了理論分析。第四章中美貿(mào)易與中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的實(shí)證分析。對(duì)中美貿(mào)易對(duì)中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的直接和間接作用進(jìn)行了實(shí)證分析與回歸分析，表明從美進(jìn)口對(duì)中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)具有較強(qiáng)的相關(guān)性；同時(shí)，通過對(duì)新的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)結(jié)構(gòu)模型與中美貿(mào)易平衡的分析，得出從貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整角度發(fā)展中美貿(mào)易關(guān)系的結(jié)論。第五章中美貿(mào)易與中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的政策建議，從中國(guó)的對(duì)外貿(mào)易的整體發(fā)展和結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整角度來提出具體的戰(zhàn)略和對(duì)策，并針對(duì)中美之間貿(mào)易的特點(diǎn)提出了具體的建議。最后一章是結(jié)論，在系統(tǒng)分析的基礎(chǔ)上，對(duì)全文進(jìn)行總結(jié)概括。論文分析結(jié)果表明，通過對(duì)中美貿(mào)易與中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)之間相關(guān)性分析，中國(guó)自美國(guó)進(jìn)口比對(duì)美國(guó)出口對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的相關(guān)性更強(qiáng)，拉動(dòng)性更高。中國(guó)應(yīng)采取合作型的貿(mào)易政策，以提升中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)和人民生活水平為目標(biāo)，通過國(guó)際分工和世界市場(chǎng)機(jī)制，以優(yōu)化進(jìn)出口的商品結(jié)構(gòu)為主要內(nèi)容，積極擴(kuò)大自美進(jìn)口，促進(jìn)國(guó)內(nèi)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)和結(jié)構(gòu)增長(zhǎng)。

簡(jiǎn)介：中南大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文中美貿(mào)易對(duì)中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的影響機(jī)理研究姓名常靜婷申請(qǐng)學(xué)位級(jí)別碩士專業(yè)國(guó)際貿(mào)易學(xué)指導(dǎo)教師馮正強(qiáng)20071122ABSTRACTSINCECHINA’SREFORMANDOPENINGUP，THESINOAMERICATRADERELATIONSHIPHASBEENDEVELOPEDCONSTANTLY’ANDMUTUALTRADEINTERDEPENDENCEHASBEENPROMOTEDCONTINUOUSLYMEANWHILE，THETRADEGOODSSTRUCTUREHASAPPEAREDGREATCHANGE111EDEVELOPMENTOFSINOAMERICATRADERELATIONSHIPISVERYIMPORTANTTODEVELOPCOMPARATIVEADVANTAGESOFTWOCOUNTRIESANDIMPROVEPEOPLE’SECONOMICWELFARETMSTEXTCOMPREHENSIVELYAPPLIESTHETHEORIESANDMETHODSOFECONOMETRICS，INTERNATIONALTRADESTUDYING，INDUSTRY’SECONOMICS，ETC，ANDANALYZESANDSTUDIESTHESINOAMERICATRADETOTHECONTRIBUTIONOFCHINASECONOMICGROWTHTHISTEXTREVIEWSTHESTUDYINGOFTHERELATIONSHIPBETWEENTRADEANDECONOMICGROWTHFROMDOMESTICANDINTERNATIONALSCHOLARS，ANDUSESTHETHEORIESOFINTERNATIONALTRADESTUDYING，INDUSTRIALECONOMICS，ETCTOANALYZETHEMECHANISMOFHOWFOREIGNTRADEPROMOTESONECOUNTRY’SECONOMICGROWTHBYINFLUENCINGONECOUNTRY’SGDPINDUSTRIALSTRUCTURE，SYSTEMINNOVATIONANDTECHNOLOGICALPROGRESS，ETCTHETEXTDESCRIBESCHINASFOREIGNTRADEANDTHECURRENTSITUATIONOFSHAOAMERICABILATERALTRADESTHEDATAOFCHINA’SGDPIMPORTEXPORTVALUEOFSINOAMERICATRADEINDICATETHATCHINA’SECONOMYHASTHESAMETRENDWITHSINOAMERICATRADEONTHISBASIS，THETEXTUSESTHEDATAOFSINOAMERICATRADEIMPORTEXPORTVOLUME，CHINA’SGDPVALUE，THEPROPORTIONOFCHINA’STERTIARYINDUSTRYINGDPANDWHOLEFACTORSPRODUCTIVITYOFCHINATOANALYZEHOWSINOAMERICAINFLUENCESCHINA’SECONOMICGROWTH，INDUSTRIALSTRUCTUREANDTECHNOLOGICALPROGRESSBYAPPLYINGADFTEST，COINTEGRATIONANDSETTINGUPTHEERRORREVISEMODELS，THETEXTGETSTHEFOLLOWINGCONCLUSIONSINTHELONGTERMCHINAANDTHEUNITEDSTATES’SIMPORTEXPORTTRADEWILLPROMOTECHINA’SECONOMYANDCHINESEINDUSTRIALSTRUCTUREADJUSTMENT；THEREISNOLONGTERMBALANCEBETWEENTHESINOAMERICATRADEANDTECHNOLOGICALPROGRESSOFCHINAINTHESHORTTERM，EXPORTTRADETOTHEUSAFROMCHINAWILLPROMOTECHINA’SECONOMICGROWTHANDIMPORTTRADEFROMTHEUSADOESNOTEXERTINFLUENCEONCHINA’SECONOMICGROWTH；IMPORTEXPORTTRADESBETWEENCHINAANDII

簡(jiǎn)介：多止碩士學(xué)位論文⑧論文題目浙江農(nóng)產(chǎn)品出口貿(mào)易的規(guī)模結(jié)構(gòu)與經(jīng)濟(jì)貢獻(xiàn)分析作者姓名聶宣勇指導(dǎo)教師衛(wèi)龍寶教授學(xué)科專業(yè)農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)管理所在學(xué)院管理學(xué)院提交日期2007年6月浙江大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文浙江農(nóng)產(chǎn)品出口貿(mào)易的規(guī)模結(jié)構(gòu)與經(jīng)濟(jì)貢獻(xiàn)分析ABSTRACTINTERNATIONALTRADEISBECOMINGEVENMORECMCIALTOAGRICULTURALPRODUCTSMCHINAWILH也EENTRANCETOWTOANDTHEDEVELCLPMENTOFECONOMICGLOBALIZATIONDOCUMENTNO1OFCHINA2007ILLUMINATESTHATITISIMPORTANTGUARANTEETOTHEMODERNAGRICULTURE，IMPLEMENTINGTHEPRODUCEEXPORTSTRATEGYSTRENGTHENINGTHEMANAGEMENTANDCONTROLOFTHEPRODUCEBASE，CONSTRUCTINGAUNIFIEDOPENMARKETSYSTEMSINCETHEADOPTIONOFREFORMANDOPENINGUPPOLICYZHEJIANGPROVINCEHASKEPTANUPWARDTRENDINOVERALLECONOMICSWHILETHEAMOUNTOFPRODUCEEXPORTHASGOTGREATINCREMENTWHILEFIRSTLYREGULATEDTHEAGRICULTURESTRUCTUREIN1999BASEDONTHERELATIVETHEORIES，THISTHESISANALYZESTHEEVOLUTIONANDTHEPRESENTSITUATIONOFZHEJIANGEXPORTPRODUCEAMETROLOGYMETHODISADOPTEDTOCOMPUTEIFTHEPRODUCEEXPORTHASFACILITATEDTOTHEAGRICULTUREECONOMICGROWTH，WHICHINCLUDESTHEOUTPUTINCOME，EMPLOYMENTTHEDISSERTATIONTRIESTOEVALUATETHEECONOMICPERFORMANCEOFTHEPRODUCEEXPORTSTRATEGYANDPROVETHE‘EXPORTLEDGROWTH’ELGLHYPOTHESIS，WHICHISDIVIDEDINTOFIVEPARTS勰FOLLOWSSECTIONONEEXPLAINSSOMEISSUES，SUCH船THEBACKGROUNDANDINTENTION，THERESEARCHMETHODSANDDATASOURCE1IKEWISETHEINNOVATIONANDTHEDEFICIENCYSECTIONTWOANALYSESTHEPRINCIPLESOFTHEINTERNATIONALTRADEANDECONOMICGROWTH，F(xiàn)OCUSINGONSOMECASESABOUTTHEPRODUCEEXPORTTRADESECTIONTHREEINTRODUCESTHEAGRICULTURALPRODUCTSEXPORTSITUATIONOFZHEJIANG，INCLUDINGTHESCALE，STATUS，PRODUCTSTRUCTURE，REGIONBUSINESSENTITIESANDTRADEMODE，WHILEATONETIME，INDICATESTHECONSTRAINTSTOTHEAGRICULTURALPRODUCTSEXPORTINDLLSTRYSECTIONFOUREXPATIATESACASEOFAGRICULTURALPRODUCTSEXPORTANDTHEEFFECTOFCONTRIBUTIONTOTHEECONOMYWHIEHCONCLUDESTHATTHEREISENORMOUSPOTENTIALINPRODUCTSEXPORTTRADEOFZHEJIANGTHEEXPORTOFAGRICULTURALPRODUCTS，WHICHPLAYSAFACILITATINGROLEINECONOMICS，EWENOBVIOUSLYAFTERENTERINGWTO，GRANGERCAUSESTHEAGRICULTURALGROWTHANDIMPROVESTHELEVELOFAGRICULTURALSTRUCTUREBYUSINGTHEMETHODOF“INPUTOUTPUTANALYSIS”，THEPAPERCONCLUDESTHATAGRICULTURALPRODUCTSEXPORTTRADEWILLINEREASETHEOUTPUTOFTHOSERELATEDDEPARTMENTS，EMPLOYMORERURALSURPLUSLABORPROMOTETHEINCOMEGROWTHSECTIONFIVESUMMARIZESTHEMAINRESEARCHCONCLUSIONSANDPROPOSESSOMEPOLICYIMPLICATIONS，ACCORDINGTOTHEDEMONSTRABLEANALYSISABOVEKEYWORDSAGRICULTURALPRODUCTS；EXPORT；ECONOMICGROWTH；CONTRIBUTIONⅡ

簡(jiǎn)介：I摘要摘要改革開放以來，我國(guó)對(duì)外貿(mào)易發(fā)展迅速，取得了巨大的成就。近幾年來，我國(guó)對(duì)外貿(mào)易更是保持了高速發(fā)展的態(tài)勢(shì)，年均增長(zhǎng)速度高達(dá)30以上，成為我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)持續(xù)快速發(fā)展的發(fā)動(dòng)機(jī)之一。但在我國(guó)外貿(mào)快速增長(zhǎng)的背后，資源過度消耗和浪費(fèi)，生態(tài)環(huán)境破壞嚴(yán)重，產(chǎn)品技術(shù)水平低下，遭遇國(guó)外綠色壁壘的限制越來越多。也就是說，我國(guó)“高增長(zhǎng)、高消耗、高排放、不協(xié)調(diào)、難循環(huán)、低效率”的粗放型外貿(mào)增長(zhǎng)方式還未得到根本轉(zhuǎn)變。傳統(tǒng)的外貿(mào)增長(zhǎng)方式，使我國(guó)對(duì)資源、能源的需求不斷增長(zhǎng)，而我國(guó)所擁有的資源和環(huán)境承載能力是有限的。若繼續(xù)按照傳統(tǒng)的生產(chǎn)和消費(fèi)模式，走發(fā)達(dá)國(guó)家工業(yè)化進(jìn)程中“先污染，后治理”的老路，我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)貿(mào)易在快速增長(zhǎng)的同時(shí)將導(dǎo)致資源枯竭、生態(tài)惡化，進(jìn)而直接危及我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)貿(mào)易的可持續(xù)發(fā)展。隨著資源環(huán)境問題日益突出外貿(mào)增長(zhǎng)與環(huán)境的矛盾不斷加深探討解決這一矛盾的出路實(shí)現(xiàn)對(duì)外貿(mào)易的可持續(xù)發(fā)展，已成為我國(guó)社會(huì)各界共同關(guān)心的問題。循環(huán)經(jīng)濟(jì)在國(guó)際社會(huì)的提出是人類對(duì)難以為繼的傳統(tǒng)發(fā)展模式反思后的創(chuàng)新是對(duì)人與自然界關(guān)系在認(rèn)識(shí)上不斷演進(jìn)的結(jié)果。要實(shí)現(xiàn)我國(guó)對(duì)外貿(mào)易與資源環(huán)境的良性互動(dòng)和協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展，實(shí)施循環(huán)經(jīng)濟(jì)戰(zhàn)略刻不容緩。在此背景下總結(jié)發(fā)達(dá)國(guó)家處理經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)與環(huán)境之間矛盾的經(jīng)驗(yàn)教訓(xùn)結(jié)合我國(guó)實(shí)際探索循環(huán)經(jīng)濟(jì)與對(duì)外貿(mào)易可持續(xù)發(fā)展相結(jié)合的道路，具有重要的意義。目前國(guó)內(nèi)將循環(huán)經(jīng)濟(jì)戰(zhàn)略與對(duì)外貿(mào)易相結(jié)合的研究還比較少。因此，本文試圖將循環(huán)經(jīng)濟(jì)戰(zhàn)略與我國(guó)對(duì)外貿(mào)易相結(jié)合，從循環(huán)經(jīng)濟(jì)理論的角度，探索一條適合我國(guó)對(duì)外貿(mào)易可持續(xù)發(fā)展的發(fā)展道路。全文分為四章，第一章主要是就文章的選題背景、研究意義、循環(huán)經(jīng)濟(jì)內(nèi)涵及國(guó)內(nèi)外已有的理論研究成果等方面來做簡(jiǎn)單的論述。第二章在闡釋對(duì)外貿(mào)易可持續(xù)發(fā)展概念和評(píng)價(jià)指標(biāo)體系的基礎(chǔ)上，分析了我國(guó)對(duì)外貿(mào)易可持續(xù)發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀，并針對(duì)目前外貿(mào)增長(zhǎng)中存在的問題，重點(diǎn)說明了我國(guó)對(duì)外貿(mào)易中實(shí)施循環(huán)經(jīng)濟(jì)戰(zhàn)略的必要性和緊迫性。第三章著重研究了國(guó)外發(fā)達(dá)國(guó)家在對(duì)外貿(mào)易中實(shí)施循環(huán)經(jīng)濟(jì)的經(jīng)驗(yàn)總結(jié)，以期對(duì)我國(guó)對(duì)外貿(mào)易中循環(huán)經(jīng)濟(jì)戰(zhàn)略的實(shí)施起到一個(gè)借鑒。并在此基礎(chǔ)上，試圖建立一個(gè)對(duì)外貿(mào)易中實(shí)施循環(huán)經(jīng)濟(jì)戰(zhàn)略，實(shí)現(xiàn)對(duì)外貿(mào)易可持續(xù)發(fā)

簡(jiǎn)介：廈門大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文全球經(jīng)濟(jì)失衡下的中國(guó)貿(mào)易失衡研究姓名武艷玲申請(qǐng)學(xué)位級(jí)別碩士專業(yè)國(guó)際貿(mào)易學(xué)指導(dǎo)教師張明志20080401ABSTRACTRECENTLYGLOBALIMBALANCEHASATTRACTEDMOREANDMOREATTENTIONBYACADEMICANDADMINISTRATIVEAUTHORITIESALLOVERTHEWORLDTHEBESTSOLUTIONOFADJUSTINGISTOWORKTOGETHERWITLLALLRELATIVECOUNTRIESFORTHESLOWADJUSTMENTOFTHEGLOBALIMBALANCETHISPAPERDISCUSSESCHINA’STRADESTRUCTUREOFIMBALANCEUNDERTHEBACKGROUNDOFTHEGLOBALIMBALANCE，THECAUSES，THEEFFECTONCHINESEECONOMYANDFINALLYTHEIMPACTOFTHEADJUSTMENTOFCHINA’STRADEIMBALANCEWITHTHEDEVELOPMENTOFDOMESTICECONOMYANDINTERNATIONALTRADE，CHINAISENJOYINGUNPRECEDENTEDGLOBALIZATIONAFTERTHEANALYSISOFTHEIMBALANCEDSTRUCTUREINCHINA’SINTEMATIONALTRADE，IT’SFOUNDTHATCHINA’STRADESURPLUSFOCUSEDONTHEFOREIGNINVESTEDENTERPRISESINTHEMANUFACTURINGSECTOROFTHEPROCESSINGTRADEALSO，SINCECHINESEPRIVATEENTERPRISESHAVETHEADVANTAGESOFINNOVATIVECAPACITYANDCOMPETITIVENESS，THEIREXPORTINCREASEDDRAMATICALLYANDBECAMEANIMPORTANTNEWDRIVINGFORCEONEXPANDINGTRADESURPLUSDUETOSTRONGECONOMICCOMPLEMENTARITIES，THEUNITEDSTATESHASBECOMECHINA’SLARGESTSURPLUSSOURCECOUNTRYATTHE韶11DETIME，TRADEIMBALANCEBOTHBETWEENCHINAANDTHEMAJORTRADINGPARTNERSANDBETWEENDIFFERENTDOMESTICREGIONSARECONSTANTLYDETERIORATINGCHINA’STRADEIMBALANCESTRUCTUREISCAUSEDBYMANYFACTORS，SUCHASTHEINTEMATIONALTRANSFEROFINDUSTRIES，F(xiàn)OREIGNDIRECTINVESTMENTANDOURNATURALRESOURCES，ETCTHEREFORE，CHINA’STRADEIMBALANCEPOSITIONWILLSUSTAINFORACERTAINPERIODOFTIMELONGTERMTRADEIMBALANCERESULTINTHEHUGEFOREIGNEXCHANGERESERVES，ENHANCINGCHINASINTERNATIONALFINANCIALABILITYTOWITHSTANDRISKS，SMOOTHINGPROGRESSOFTHENATIONALECONOMYHOWEVERDUETOTHESAMEREASONCHINASFOREIGNTRADEFRICTIONHASINCREASED，THEPRESSUREOFRMBAPPRECIATIONISHEAVIERANDIT’SMOREDIFFICULTTOCONTROLTHESTATE’SMACROECONOMYMEASURESSHOULDBETAKENTOACHIEVEBALANCEDDEVELOPMENTOFTRADEANDECONOMYITISGOINGTOBEAGRADUALADJUSTMENTPROCESSFOROPTIMIZINGCHINA’SECONOMICANDTRADESTRUCTURE，WHICHWILLPLAYAPOSITIVEROLEINABALANCED，STABLEANDSUSTAINABLEDEVELOPMENTOFTHECHINESEECONOMYFACINGTHEGLOBALIMBALANCEKEYWORDSGLOBALIMBALANCE；TRADESTRUCTURE；BALANCEDTRADESTRATEGY

簡(jiǎn)介：江南大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文食品貿(mào)易與我國(guó)食品工業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)關(guān)系的實(shí)證研究姓名陳李萍申請(qǐng)學(xué)位級(jí)別碩士專業(yè)食品貿(mào)易與文化指導(dǎo)教師武戈20080601ABSTRACTABSTRACTTHESTUDYISFOCUSEDONTHERELATIONSHIPBETWEENFOODTRADEANDECONOMICGROWTHINFOODINDUSTRYINCHINAFIRST，WEREVIEWSOMETHEORIESOFFOREIGNTRADEPROMOTINGECONOMICGROWTH，WHICHISCONSIDEREDASTHEORETICALBASISOFSTUDYINGTHEPAPERTHEN，WEINTRODUCETHEGENERALSITUATIONABOUTTHEFOODTRADEANDTHEFOODINDUSTRYSINCETHEREFORMANDOPENINGUPOFCHINAONTHEBASISOFTHESE，ITMAKEANEMPIRICALSTUDYONTHERELATIONSHIPBETWEENTRADEANDECONOMICGROWTHINFOODINDUSTRYBYUSINGAMASSOFDATABYUSINGCOINTEGRATIONMODELTOANALYZETHERELATIONSHIPBETWEENTHEEXPORTANDIMPORTOFFOODANDECONOMICGROWTHOFFOODINDUSTRY；BYUSINGFEDERMODELTOFINDOUTANINDIRECTENHANCIVEFUNCTIONTOTHEGROWTHOFITSFOODINDUSTRYTHROUGHEXTERNALITYEFFECTSONOTHERSECTORS；BYUSINGPANELDATAMODELTOCOMPARETHEEXTENTOFTHEINFLUENCEONTHELOCALFOODINDUSTRYFINALLYITPRESENTSSOMESUGGESTIONSTOIMPROVEINTEMATIONALUADE’SPOSITIVEINFLUENCESONECONOMICGROWTHOFFOODINDUSTRYINCHINAFROMTHEGOVERNMENTANDTHEFOODSTUFFCORPORATIONASPECTSITISFOUNDTHATTHEREEXISTSALONGTERMCOINTEGRATIONANDSHORTDYNAMICADJUSTINGMECHANISMAMONGTHEABOVETHREE，OURFOODIMPORTANDEXPORTBOTHIMPROVETHEECONOMICGROWTHOFFOODINDUSTRYBUTTHEIMPROVEMENTISTINYWEINCREASEL％ONFOODEXPORT，JUSTMAKEO289％GROWTHONFOODINDUSTRYWHILEINCREASING1％ONFOODIMPORTCANONLYMAKE0171％GROWTHONFOODINDUSTRYFEDERMODELTELLSUSTHATTHEEXPORTSECTORSHASSTRONGEXTERNALITYEFFECTSONOTHERSECTORS，WHICHTELLSUSTHEREASONWHYFOODEXPORTCANPROMOTETHEFOODINDUSTRYAND，WEGETTHEEXTERNALITYEFFECTSPARAMETERBYTHECORRECTIONALFEDERMODELIFFOODEXPORTINCREASE1％THEOUTPUTONOTHERFOODINDUSTRYSECTORSWILLINCREASE1164％THEMARGINALELEMENTPRODUCTIVITYISO15HIGHERTHANOTHERSECTORS，SOWESHOULDENCOURAGEFOODEXPORT，MAKEMOREANMOREFARMPRODUCTSFIRSTLYBEINGPROCESSEDBYTHEFOODSTUFFCORPORATIONBEFOREEXPORT，INORDERTOENHANTETHEADDITIVEVALUETHERESULTOFPANELDATAMODELINDICATESTHATTHEINFLUENCEBYFOODINTERNATIONALTRADEONLOCALECONOMICGROWTHINFOODINDUSTRYISSODIFFERENTAMONGTHECHINESEPROVINCE，WECANSIMPLYDIVIDEINTOFOURGROUPSONTHEBASISOFITSINFLUENCEEXTENTTIENTSIN，OUANGDONGAREINTHEGROUPI；SOMELITTORALREGIONSLIKESHANDONGANDSOMEBIGAGRICULTURALPROVINCELIKEHENANBELONGTOTHEGROUPII；SHANXI，BEIJINGANDHAINANFALLINTOTHEGROUPLII，WHILESHANGXI，NEIMENGGU，JIANGXI，GUIZHOUANDXINJIANGBELONGTOTHEGROUPIVPOLICIESARESUGGESTEDBASEDONTHEABOVECONCLUSIONSFIRST，THEGOVERNMENTSHOULDSTRENGTHENTHEINVESTMENTSFROMDOMESTICCAPITAL，BROADENCREDITPOLICYANDREDUCEREVENUESECOND，EXPORTSOFLABORINTENSIVEPRODUCTSSUCHASAQUATICPRODUCTS，VEGETABLEANDFRUITPRODUCTSSHOULDBEEXPANDED，ANDTHETECHNIQUECODESYSTEMASWELLASTHEFOODSAFETYSYSTEMSHOULDBEESTABLISHEDTOSTRENGTHENTHEINSPECTIONOFFOODEXPORTONTHEOTHERHANDFOCUSINGONFOODIMPORTS，SOMEACTIONSSHOULDALSOBETAKENTOACCELERATETHEREFORMOFCUSTOMSDUTIES，UPGRADETHEFOODINDUSTRYSTRUCTUREANDINCREASETHEWHOLEECONOMICEFFICIENCYKEYWORDSINTERNATIONALTRADE；FOODINDUSTRY；ECONOMICGROWTH；EMPIRICALSTUDYⅡ

簡(jiǎn)介：南開大學(xué)學(xué)位論文原創(chuàng)性聲明本人鄭重聲明所呈交的學(xué)位論文，是本人在導(dǎo)師指導(dǎo)下，進(jìn)行研究工作所取得的成果。除文中已經(jīng)注明引用的內(nèi)容外，本學(xué)位論文的研究成果不包含任何他人創(chuàng)作的、已公開發(fā)表或者沒有公開發(fā)表的作品的內(nèi)容。對(duì)本論文所涉及的研究工作做出貢獻(xiàn)的其他個(gè)人和集體，均已在文中以明確方式標(biāo)明。本學(xué)位論文原創(chuàng)性聲明的法律責(zé)任由本人承膽。學(xué)位論文作者簽名嘉云峨凇晦年牟月≥D日中文摘要中文摘要隨著全球經(jīng)濟(jì)一體化的逐步深入，開放與參與經(jīng)濟(jì)國(guó)際全球化成為各國(guó)主動(dòng)或無奈的必然選擇。但對(duì)于開放后能否帶來經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)和發(fā)展，發(fā)展中國(guó)家還需具備一定的客觀條件。中國(guó)的對(duì)外貿(mào)易和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)經(jīng)歷了近30年的快速、高速增長(zhǎng)，貿(mào)易對(duì)我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的作用的研究己成為經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)界的重要課題?；诖吮尘?，本文在新古典增長(zhǎng)理論和二元經(jīng)濟(jì)理論的基礎(chǔ)上，從理論、模型和實(shí)證多角度研究了貿(mào)易開放對(duì)中國(guó)二元結(jié)構(gòu)轉(zhuǎn)換和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的影響。本文的研究?jī)?nèi)容與框架結(jié)構(gòu)安排如下第一章作為全文的導(dǎo)論，主要介紹研究本文的國(guó)際背景和國(guó)內(nèi)背景，由此引出研究方法及目的，并總結(jié)出研究?jī)?nèi)容與創(chuàng)新之處。第二章；是貿(mào)易開放與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)理論的文獻(xiàn)綜述，分別從三個(gè)方面梳理了與主題有關(guān)的J目關(guān)理論經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)與經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展理論、貿(mào)易開放與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)理論、貿(mào)易開放與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)關(guān)系的實(shí)證研究。通過文獻(xiàn)考察，提出了應(yīng)從二元經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)轉(zhuǎn)換的角度來研究貿(mào)易開放與中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的關(guān)系，而技術(shù)吸收的二元經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)模型是分析中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)問題的需要。本文的主線是在二元經(jīng)濟(jì)的大背景下，研究貿(mào)易開放與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的關(guān)系，因此第三章研究了中國(guó)貿(mào)易開放與中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的現(xiàn)狀，具體內(nèi)容為我國(guó)貿(mào)易開放的現(xiàn)狀與變化分析、從勞動(dòng)力流動(dòng)的視角研究了貿(mào)易開放對(duì)二元結(jié)構(gòu)轉(zhuǎn)換的影響、中國(guó)的貿(mào)易開放與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的關(guān)系。第四章具體測(cè)度了中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)和二元結(jié)構(gòu)的現(xiàn)狀，從測(cè)度方法到測(cè)度結(jié)果給出了中圉經(jīng)濟(jì)總體及各地區(qū)的二元經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)狀況，同時(shí)描繪了中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)總體發(fā)展水平及變化規(guī)律。第五章對(duì)貿(mào)易開放影響經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)和二元結(jié)構(gòu)轉(zhuǎn)換的機(jī)理進(jìn)行了不同角度的分析，在此基礎(chǔ)上，構(gòu)造了技術(shù)吸收的二元經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)模型，分析并得出如下結(jié)論貿(mào)易開放對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的影響并不總是起正向作用，在不同的條件下，會(huì)起到不同甚至相反的作用。第六章經(jīng)驗(yàn)檢驗(yàn)了貿(mào)易開放與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的關(guān)系。首先利用ECM模型檢驗(yàn)了貿(mào)易開放和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的長(zhǎng)期關(guān)系，并找出了貿(mào)易開放影響經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的“關(guān)鍵點(diǎn)”，

簡(jiǎn)介：青島大學(xué)博士學(xué)位論文區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)一體化貿(mào)易與環(huán)境兼論東亞自由貿(mào)易區(qū)構(gòu)建中的貿(mào)易與環(huán)境協(xié)調(diào)姓名陳曉文申請(qǐng)學(xué)位級(jí)別博士專業(yè)人口資源與環(huán)境經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)指導(dǎo)教師姜學(xué)民20070608青島人學(xué)博十學(xué)位論文ABSTRACTINTHE2ISTCENTURY，THECONFLICTBETWEENTRADEANDENVIRONMENTAROUSESWIDECONCERNINTHEWORLDWITHTHEDOHAROUNDOFWTONEGOTIATIONSATADEADLOCKMULTILATERALTRADESYSTEMFACESADILEMMA，ECONOMICGLOBALIZATIONDEVELOPSSLOWLYANDREGIONALECONOMYWITNESSESALLINCREASINGUPSURGEOFGROUPINGANDINTERNATIONALIZATIONECONOMICGLOBALIZATIONANDREGIONALECONOMICINTEGRATIONFORMARELATIONSHIPOFCOMPLEMENTARYCOMPETITIONANDCOOPERATIVEDEVELOPMENTNLEHARMONIOUSDEVELOPMENTBETWEENECONOMICANDTRADEGROWTHANDENVIRONMENTATTHEREGIONALLEVELBECOMESAWORTHWHILERESEARCHTOPICFROMATHEORETICALSTUDYOFTRADEANDENVIRONMENTUNDERTHECONDITIONOFREGIONALECONOMICINTEGRATION，THISDISSERTATIONANALYZESTHEBASICFRAMEWORKOFREGIONALECONOMICGROWTH，TRADEANDENVIRONMENTONTHISBASIS。EMPIRICALINVESTIGATIONANDQUANTITATIVEANALYSISSHOULDBEMADEONTHETRADEANDENVIRONMENTALEFFECTSOFVARIOUSTYPESOFREGIONALECONOMICINTEGRATIONORGANIZATIONSESPECIALLYANINDEPTHSTUDYISDONEONNORTHAMERICANFREETRADEAREANAFTASIMILARTOEASTASIANFREETRADEAREAEAFTAINTHELIGHTOFCHINA’SPRACTICEOFREGIONALECONOMICINTEGRATION，TRADEANDENVIRONMENTALEXPERIENCEANDTHEORIENTATIONTOWARDPOLICYADJUSTMENTAREPROBEDINTOACCORDINGTOTHESTRATEGYOFCHINA’SREGIONALECONOMICINTEGRATIONWITHTHEBASISONTHEORETICALRESEARCHANDTHETESTTHROUGHPRACTICETRADEANDENVIRONMENTALPROBLEMSEXISTINGINTHEESTABLISHMENTOFEAFTAAREANALYZEDONTHEBASISOFTHESUMMARYOFANDLEARNINGFROMTHEEXPERIENCEOFREGIONALECONOMICINTEGRATIONOFEUROPEANDTHEUS，CONCERNINGPOLICYITISSUGGESTEDTHATTRADEANDENVIRONMENTOFEAFTASHOULDBECOORDINATEDTHEBASICCONCLUSIONREACHEDBYTHISDISSERTATIONTHROUGHRESEARCHISASFELLLOWSNORTHNORTHHORIZONTALREGIONALECONOMICINTEGRATIONPROMOTESBOTHTRADEANDENVIRONMENTINTHEREGION；SOUTHSOUTHHORIZONTALINTEGRATIONPRODUCESCOMPARATIVELYBIGENVIRONMENTALPROBLEMSWHILETHEREISDEVELOPMENTINECONOMYANDTRADESOUTHNORTHVERTICALINTEGRATIONENHANCESTHETRADEINTHEREGIONWITHOUTOBVIOUSENVIRONMENTALCHANGESINTHEMEMBERDEVELOPINGCOUNTRIESTHECOOPERATIONMECHANISMOFREGIONALECONOMICINTEGRATIONANDTHEBINDINGFORCEOFENVIRONMENTALAGREEMENTSAREOFVITALIMPORTANCETOTHEDEVELOPINGCOUNTRIESVIOLABLETOPOLLUTIONTRANSFERENVIRONMENTALREGULATIONANDPOLICYA由USTMENTARECONDUCIVETOTHEHARMONIOUSDEVELOPMENTOFTRADEANDENVIRONMENT

簡(jiǎn)介：哈爾濱理工大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文黑龍江省對(duì)外貿(mào)易與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)關(guān)系研究姓名張冕申請(qǐng)學(xué)位級(jí)別碩士專業(yè)技術(shù)經(jīng)濟(jì)及管理指導(dǎo)教師高長(zhǎng)元20080601

簡(jiǎn)介：河海大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文中美貿(mào)易與中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的相關(guān)性研究姓名曾凡申請(qǐng)學(xué)位級(jí)別碩士專業(yè)國(guó)際貿(mào)易學(xué)指導(dǎo)教師張靜中20080601ABSTRACTWINLTHCCONTIILU伽SDEVELOPMENT0FCLLINAUSTRADE姐DCHINA．S輒STAI北DE∞∞IILIC伊州H，THEIMPORT柚∞OFIMPACTCHI艙USTRADE∞CHINA．SECONOLILIC伊OWTHHAVEBEENGRADUAUYDEVELOPING．THE陀∞AFCHONTHE呻ACTOFTHE缸ADEANDDEALINGWITHTHEPMBLEMSTHATEXISTIN傾DEH弱幻。聆ACHINGSI印I6CAN∞．NISPAPERA叫，ZCD恤H硫RYOFTHEDEVCLOPMENTOFCHINA．US婦DE，MESTATILSOFMECHINAUS仃ADE，N圮∞NTINUO惦EXP姐SIONOFTHCS∞LE，CLL_IIIA．STFADESU叩LUS麗THTHEUNITEDSTATES，TMDEANDPOLITICALF她T0璐INTHEDEG嬸EOFDEPENDE眥E伽TNDC蛆DOTH盯IMPORT蛆TIS跚鍶H撇BEENSTILDIED，柚DMECH姍C(jī)TERIST遠(yuǎn)0FCHINAUSTFADE舔WEU舔PMBLC吣WE他GIVENTHIDUGHTHE姐ALYSISOFTRADEIN眥NTYE啦．NETFADE唧IUS粕DNLCS岫US觚DE姐DPOLITICALFACT0塔粕DTHEIMPACT陀LATEDT0他∞AFCH，SU姍EDUPTHEDEVELOPIMNTOFSINOUSTNDEONTHE哪RT柚∞OFCHINAANDTHEUNI砌STATES，剛E棚INME抓L叩眥NT0FSIN礬，STRADEPROBLEMSINORDERTOBEN盯他SPONDT0THEPROMOTIONOFU．S．帆DEHCALTHYLONGTE珊DEVCLOPMENTEMPIRICALSTUDIESINTHISPAL財(cái)VE瑚ED她∞USALLINL【BE咖煳MCCH劬．US仃ADE柚DCHINA．SE∞NOMIC黟OWTHTHROUGHTHE陀LEVANTANALYSIS，ME00INLEGFATIONANALYSIS，GRANGERC卸SALIIYK斌，Ⅵ棚CHSHOWSTHATCHINAUSTRADEP∞MOTCCHINATSCC0∞IIIIC伊嗍他．ANDTHENME勰U聆DTHECONTRIBUTIONOFEXPOFTTOTHECHINA．SCCONOMIC舒O、L，THMTE柚DTHE北鋤LTSA∞ANALYZED．UPONTLLEA姐LYSIS0FTHESTAT嘴觚DTHEB舔ISOFEMPIDCAL陀SEARCH，INTHEPAPER，COPINGSTFATEGI∞、ⅣE心GIVEN丘．0MTHE咖孤GKSTHEGOVCMMENT柚DTHC％TE叩RI∞S．KEYWORDSCHINAUSTRADE；CHINA’SECONOMICGRO叭H；EMPIRICALSTUDIESIL

簡(jiǎn)介：浙江大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)院博士學(xué)位論文“新”貿(mào)易模式與世界經(jīng)濟(jì)失衡姓名高莉申請(qǐng)學(xué)位級(jí)別博士專業(yè)國(guó)際貿(mào)易學(xué)指導(dǎo)教師宋玉華20080501浙江大學(xué)博士學(xué)位論文“新”貿(mào)易模式與世界經(jīng)濟(jì)失衡紀(jì)80年代世界經(jīng)濟(jì)共經(jīng)歷了4次不同程度表現(xiàn)不一的世界經(jīng)濟(jì)失衡，其中只有第一次是通過市場(chǎng)機(jī)制的內(nèi)生調(diào)整作用進(jìn)行的，成就了第一次經(jīng)濟(jì)全球化。其余3次世界經(jīng)濟(jì)失衡的調(diào)整都動(dòng)用了政府干預(yù)手段，其中2次導(dǎo)致當(dāng)時(shí)的國(guó)際貨幣體制的崩潰，1次導(dǎo)致日本在整個(gè)90年代的低迷。2當(dāng)前的世界經(jīng)濟(jì)失衡是世界經(jīng)濟(jì)運(yùn)行中多種結(jié)構(gòu)和關(guān)系的失衡，包括世界范圍內(nèi)的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)結(jié)構(gòu)失衡、國(guó)際經(jīng)常賬戶結(jié)構(gòu)失衡、國(guó)際儲(chǔ)蓄投資結(jié)構(gòu)失衡、國(guó)際金融結(jié)構(gòu)失衡，以及各國(guó)內(nèi)部的經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)方式失衡。世界經(jīng)濟(jì)主體結(jié)構(gòu)的多元化、國(guó)際分工格局和生產(chǎn)體系的進(jìn)一步細(xì)化與復(fù)雜化、世界金融資本力量的空前巨大等國(guó)際經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)的演變從多種渠道影響世界經(jīng)濟(jì)失衡的形成，其中“新”貿(mào)易模式是實(shí)體經(jīng)濟(jì)領(lǐng)域集中的體現(xiàn)。3“新“貿(mào)易模式的三大重要特征是中間品貿(mào)易成為世界貿(mào)易的主要部分；垂直貿(mào)易和垂直三地貿(mào)易的興起；國(guó)際貿(mào)易投資一體化。國(guó)際分工格局和生產(chǎn)體系的細(xì)化與復(fù)雜是“新”貿(mào)易模式形成的最根本原因。其中，國(guó)際生產(chǎn)模塊化的直接和間接影響是“新“貿(mào)易模式形成的最主要推動(dòng)力量。通過NITPGEM和NITPLIGEM的模擬，本文發(fā)現(xiàn)1在“新”貿(mào)易模式下，世界經(jīng)濟(jì)失衡是模型穩(wěn)態(tài)解的必然內(nèi)涵，是一種特殊的均衡。其形成機(jī)制十分復(fù)雜，由產(chǎn)量變化帶來的“創(chuàng)造“效應(yīng)，價(jià)格變化的“替代”效應(yīng)，及結(jié)構(gòu)變化的“轉(zhuǎn)移”效應(yīng)三方面因素綜合而成的。這使得其他領(lǐng)域的政策和調(diào)整方案，如亞洲新興國(guó)家或地區(qū)的匯率調(diào)整、美國(guó)的關(guān)稅政策和財(cái)政政策調(diào)整，在世界經(jīng)濟(jì)再平衡上都將收效甚微。2中國(guó)的貿(mào)易發(fā)展是世界經(jīng)濟(jì)失衡中最主要的“中國(guó)因素’’，人民幣匯率低估、外資流入只對(duì)世界經(jīng)濟(jì)失衡的程度產(chǎn)生微弱影響，但對(duì)中國(guó)內(nèi)部經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)失衡的深化卻影響顯著。中國(guó)應(yīng)該積極利用這一時(shí)機(jī)，提出符合內(nèi)外平衡需求的“中國(guó)選擇“，如提高生產(chǎn)率、增加進(jìn)口比例、升值人民幣及改變國(guó)際投資策略等，都將有利于世界經(jīng)濟(jì)再平衡和中國(guó)消費(fèi)投資失衡格局的改善。在未來的研究中，作者將進(jìn)一步研究世界經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)中金融資本力量對(duì)世界經(jīng)濟(jì)失衡的影響、完善NITPGEM的結(jié)構(gòu)和參數(shù)設(shè)置、尋求國(guó)際投資和國(guó)際貿(mào)易模式內(nèi)生化的建模方法。關(guān)鍵詞世界經(jīng)濟(jì)失衡“新”貿(mào)易模式NITPGEM

簡(jiǎn)介：南京師范大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文對(duì)外開放區(qū)域分異及對(duì)我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展格局的影響基于貿(mào)易和外資的綜合分析姓名孟德友申請(qǐng)學(xué)位級(jí)別碩士專業(yè)人文地理學(xué)指導(dǎo)教師陸玉麒20080501ABSTRACTECONOMICOPENNESSHASGRADUALLYBECOMEONEOFTHEMOSTIMPORTANTFACTORSWHICHDEEPLYAFFECTONCHINA’SREGIONALECONOMICGROWTHANDREGIONALDEVELOPMENTPATTERN，SINCETHEOPENNESSPOLICYIMPLEMENTEDIN1978ESPECIALLY，THEIMBALANCEOPENNESSPOLICYIMPLEMENTEDINTHEEARLYTIMESANDTHESTRATEGIESTHATEMPHASIZEEFFICIENCYANDCOMPARATIVEADVANTAGESHAVESTIMULATEDTHECOASTALZONES’ECONOMYDEVELOPRAPIDLY，WHERESUPERIORGEOGRAPHICALLOCATION，SOLIDECONOMICFOUNDATIONANDMARKETIZATIONADVANTAGEALEPOSSESSEDWITHTHEOPENNESSGAPBETWEENEASTERNCOASTALZONESANDWESTERNAREASWIDENINGTHEPATTERNTHATTRADEANDFOREIGNDIRECTINVESTMENTKEEPONGROWINGBUTMAINLYCON∞NTRATEINTHEEASTEMCOASTALZONESWILLUNDOUBTEDLYWIDENTHEECONOMICDISPARITYAMONGPROVINCESANDTHETHREEMAJORZONESINCHINAASFOREIGNTRADEANDFOREIGNDIRECTINVESTMENTAREALSOTHEFOUNDATIONSOFCHINA’SOPENNESSTOTHEOUTSIDEWORLDANDCOREBEDYOFOPENINGECONOMY，THEREFOREINTHEPAPERTHEREGIONALDISPARITYABOUTFOREIGNTRADEANDFOREIGNDIRECTINVESTMENTINOURCOUNTRYAREANALYZEDANDTHENTHEREGIONALDIFFERENTIATIONPATTERNOFCHINASOPENNESSLEVELISDEEPLYDISCUSSEDBASEDONTHEQUALITATIVEANDQUANTITATIVEMETHODCOMBININGOFGISTECHNOLOGYTHEN，THECOINTEGRATIONTESTANDGRANGERCAUSALITYTESTINDICATETHATFOREIGNTRADEANDFOREIGNDIRECTINVESTMENTAFETHECAUSCSOFCHINAREGIONALECONOMICGROWTHTHROUGHGREYRELATEDANALYSISOFTRADEANDFOREIGNINVESTMENTDISPARITYANDCHINASREGIONALECONOMICDISPARITY，ITISFOUNDTHATTHEVARIABLECOEFFICIENTSOFTRADEANDFDIHAVEASTRONGCORRELATIONWITHTHEVARIABLECOEFFICIENTOFREGIONALECONOMICGROWTHANDALSODIFFERENTZONESHAVEDIFFERENTINTENSITYWHILE，COINTEGRATIONREGRESSIONALSOSHOWSTHATFOREIGNTRADEANDFDIAREMAKINGAREMARKABLEDIFFERENTCONTRIBUTIONTOTHEECONOMICGROWTHINEASTERN，MIDDLEANDWESTERNZONES，ANDTHEEASTERNCOASTALZONEHASSHOWNREMARKABLEOPENINGCHARACTER11BERESULTSSHOWTHATTHEDISPARITYOFREGIONALECONOMICOPENNESSISREMARKABLETHATMEASUREDBYTHEFOREIGNTRADEANDFOREIGNDIRECTINVESTME峨ESPECIALLYTHEGAPBETWEENCOASTALZONESANDTHEINLANDISOBVIOUSTHELEVELOFOPENINGTOTHEOUTSIDEWORLDHASBECOMEONEOFTHEMOSTIMPORTANTFACTORSTHATWIDENTHEDISPARITYBETWEENTHEEASTANDWESTCHINAFINALLYAIMEDATTHEPROBLEMSEXISTINGINTHEPROCESSOFCHINASOPENINGUPTOTHEOUTSIDEWORLDANDTHECONDITIONOFREGIONALECONOMICGROWTH，SOMEPROPOSALSAREPUTFORWARDTOPROMOTETHEOPENINGECONOMYGROWTHANDREDUCEREGIONALDIFFERENCE，ANDALSOTOPROVIDEAUSEFULREFERENCEFORCONSTITUTINGCOMPREHENSIVE，HARMONYANDSUSTAINABLEOPENNESSPOLICYANDREGIONALDEVELOPMENTSTRATEGIESKEYWORDSECONOMICOPENNESS；INTERNATIONALTRADE；FOREIGNDIRECTINVESTMENT；REGIONALDISPARITY；SPATIALPATTERNⅣ