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1、本科畢業(yè)論文外文翻譯本科畢業(yè)論文外文翻譯外文題目:外文題目:AVARapproachtotheeconomicsofFDIinChina出處:處:AppliedEconomics342002作者:者:JdanShan原文:AVARapproachtotheeconomicsofFDIinChinaUsingavectautegression(VAR)approachthisstudyreexaminesseveralhypotheses

2、suggestedbytheeconomicliteratureontheeconomicsofFDIapplyingquarterlytimeseriesdatafromChinaacountrywhichhasrecentlybecomethesecondlargesthostcountryfFDI.Innovationaccounting(variancedecompositionimpulseresponsefunctionan

3、alysis)isappliedtoanalysethevariousinterrelationshipsbetweenFDIothereconomicvariablesofinterestinaVARsystem.TheempiricalresearchusingthismethodinthecaseofChinaislimited,thestudytherefeprovidesaninterestingadvanceinthelit

4、eratureontheeconomicsofFDIinChina.INTRODUCTIONThelinkagebetweenFDIeconomicgrowthtogetherwiththestudyonthedeterminantsofFDIhasbeenthesubjectofconsiderableresearchfmanydecades.AgainstthisbackgroundthereisagrowingbodyoftheF

5、DIstudiesusingthecaseofChina.Sincetheearly1990sChinahasbecomethesecondlargesthostcountryfFDI.During19801995theannualgrowthrateofutilizedFDIwas40%accompaniedwiththispersistentstrongFDIinflowChinahasachievedaremarkableecon

6、omicgrowthrate.DespitesomedevelopmentsinthetheeticalfrontmestudieshavebeendevotedtotheempiricalliteratureonFDIthisstudyattemptstoaddtotheempiricalliteraturebyexaminingtheimpactsofFDIontheChineseeconomyincludingananalysis

7、ofthedeterminantsofFDI.TwodevelopmentsintheempiricalliteratureofFDIhavesignificantimplicationsfdiscussingtheeconomicsofFDIinChina:firstpreviouseconomicsofFDIinChina.Recentattemptsare:BroadmanSun(1997)Chenetal.(1995)Zhang

8、(1995)Chen(1996)ChenFleisher(1996)FleisherChen(1997)Kaiseretal.(1996)Liuetal.(1997)Shanetal.(1999)Sun(1998)SunChai(1998)SunTipton(1998)Wei(1996)Lee(1994)WangSwain(19951997)YoungLan(1997).Howeverthesestudiessufferfromtwom

9、ajproblems.FirstnoneofthesestudieshavetestedfthedirectionofcausalitybetweenGDPgrowthFDIinflow.TheyhaveimplicitlyassumedaonewaycausalityrunningfromFDItoGDPgrowthestimatedtheimpactsofFDIbasedonsuchcausality.Furthertheyhave

10、usedasingleequationmodel.AsdiscussedabovethefailuretoconsiderthepossibletwowaycausalitybetweenFDIgrowthmayleadtothesimultaneityproblemasingleequationmodelcannotdealwiththesimultaneityissueproperly(Kholdy1999Shanetal.1999

11、).SecondmostofthesestudieshaveusedcrosssectiondatawhendiscussingthelongrunimpactsofFDIontheChineseeconomythevalidityofwhichisalsosubjecttodebate.Themainargumentsagainsttheuseofcrosssectionaldatainfavouroftheuseoftimesser

12、iesdataaretwofold.Firstusingcrosssectionaldataimplicitlyimposeassumeacommoneconomicstructuresimilarproductiontechnologyacrossdifferentunits(provinces)whichismostlikelynottrue.Theremaybesignificantdifferences(intechnology

13、levellabourskillslevelofFDI)betweenthecoastaltheinlprovinces.Atthesametimethesignificanceofconclusionsdrawnfromcrosssectionaldataregardingalongruncausalrelationshipisquestionable(Enders1995).Themostseriousinsufficiencypr

14、esentincrosssectionalstudiesisrootedinthecausalinterpretationthatisattempted.AsdiscussedabovepreviouscrosssectionalstudiesimplicitlyassumedacausalityfromFDItoeconomicgrowth.Itisimptanttounderstthatthetheyrelatingtocausal

15、itytestsisbasedupontimeseriesanalysishenceacausalrelationshipisbesttestedinthetimeseriesframewkinsteadofthecrosssectionalcontext.ItisnotpossibletoinferanythingincrosssectionalcontextmethanacontempaneouscrelationbetweenFD

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