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1、3September2018AsiaAsiaEssentialsAsiaEssentialsAseanConference2018AseanConference20183BargainhuntingIndonesiaPhilsinfocusConradWernerOur9thannualAseanconferencefeatured61cpatesacrossSingape(16cpates)Phils(14)Indonesia(11)
2、Malaysia(11)Thail(9).?BargainhuntingwasthederofthedaywiththetwowstperfmingmarketsYTDseeingthemostmeetingrequests(IndonesiaPhils).?Ourtopideasfromtheevent:SeaLtdSembcpIndustriesBankNegaraIndonesiaBukitAsamAyalaLShakey’sPi
3、zzaSrisawad.?BBMG(2009HK)BBMG(2009HK)(Outperfm)(Outperfm)4HisticHighGPttosustainin2019propertysalestocatchupin2H18DavidChingBBMGseesupsidefGPtin2H182019fromthecurrenthistichigh?Contractedsalestocatchupin2Hastheyhaveobtai
4、nedsaleslicenses?MeopptunitiesfIndustriallconversionafternewacquisition.MaintainOPloweringEPSgivenguidance.?HongKongRetailSalesHongKongRetailSales5FurthermoderationinJulyLindaHuangGoldjewellerywatchessawasignificantslowd
5、own.?ModerationacrosscosmeticsdepartmentstesclothingIndonesiaPhilsinfocusKeypoints?Our9thannualAseanconferencefeatured61cpatesacrossSingape(16cpates)Phils(14)Indonesia(11)Malaysia(11)Thail(9).?Bargainhuntingwasthederofth
6、edaywiththetwowstperfmingmarketsYTDseeingthemostmeetingrequests(IndonesiaPhils).?Ourtopideasfromtheevent:SeaLtdSembcpIndustriesBankNegaraIndonesiaBukitAsamAyalaLShakey’sPizzaSrisawad.Topthemesideas:?Asean’sdigitalageishe
7、re:KeynotelunchpresentationsfromGrabInvokeMalaysiareinfcedourviewthatdigitalissetfacceleratedadoptioninAsean.WeseeecommerceonlinegamesleaderSeaLtd.asthebestlistedplayonthisthemeourconvictionwasreinfcedatourevent.?Indones
8、iawasakeytargetmarketfbottomfishingwith4ofthetop5mostrequestedcompanies.Investssawthemarket’sderatingweakercurrencypoliticalstabilityasprovidingacasefacquiringIndonesianequities.TelkomBukitAsam(PTBA)stoodoutfpositivemess
9、aging.OurtopideafromtheeventisBNIasexpectationsremainbelowthoseofmajpeersexecutionisontrack.WealsolikecoalplayPTBAonstrongprofitabilitywhichlookssettoexceedconsensusattractivevaluation.?…AswasPhilippines.Notwithstingmacr
10、oconcernsPhilippineswasrepresentedbytwosectswhichinvestsfoundattractive:Propertyledthewaywithrobustgrowthacrossallsegmentsespeciallyresidential.Consumeralsogarneredstronginterestaststrongtoplinegrowththoughmarginpressure
11、wasaneartermconcern.OurtopideafromtheconferencewaspropertyplayALI.IntheconsumersectwelikefastgrowingPIZZA.?SplitviewsonSingape:Someagreedwithourpositivemarketview(highlypremisedonvaluation)whileotherswouldprefertoseestro
12、ngerlongtermgrowthdrivers.EitherwaySMM’spositiveoutlookfnewoffshedersgeneratedbuzz.InthiscontextweseeSMM’sparentSCIasthebetterplay:itischeaperhasadditionalcatalystsinitsutilitiesbusiness.?Thail:meiveonthemespostSET’sboun
13、cealthoughinvestsnotedThai’scurrencystabilityaboveaverageGDPgrowthYTD.InterestismainlyonstocksthatcanoutperfmastanunevenThaieconomicrecoverytradedisputeinterestratehikeelection.SAWADTUHANAJWDstoodoutfpositivemessagingin2
14、0182019.OurtopideafromtheconferenceisSAWADduetocreditreexpansionlowerprovisioning.?Malaysia:Interestremainshighlyivegiventhechallengingtopdownmarketdynamicofweakearningsgrowthvisviselevatedvaluationswithinvestsfocusedone
15、ithervalueopptunities(e.g.GamudaWestpts)growthstocks(e.g.TopGloveMAHB).Atamacrolevelalleyesareonthenewgovernment’sfirstBudget(Nov2nd)refollowonweightingadjustments.Outlook?WhileAseanremainsunderweightedfromaregionalstrat
16、egyperspective(SGistheloneequalweight)weseevalueinthenameshighlightedabove.Fullfeedbackacrosstheeventcanbefoundhere:Day1Day2Day3.16%14%12%10%8%6%4%2%0%Indonesia(JCI)Philippines(PCOMP)Singape(FSSTI)Thail(SET)Malaysia(KLCI
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