中國農(nóng)產(chǎn)品出口邊際增長結(jié)構(gòu)研究.pdf

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4、 日期： 學(xué)科帶頭人簽名： 日期： IV A Study On Marginal Growth Structure of China's Agricultural Exports Wang Fucun (College of Economics & Management，South China Ag

5、ricultural University， Guangzhou 510642，China) Abstract:Since the 20th century, with the rapid development of China's foreign trade, agricultural exports have been expanding, especially after joining the WTO, China h

6、ad become the world's fifth largest exporter of agricultural products and the fourth largest agricultural trading nation, the value of agricultural exports up to $ 70.9 billion in 2014, but Chinese exports rely mainl

7、y on price advantage, with the rise in labor costs, the comparative advantage gradually weaken, Export trade conditions are deteriorating. China agricultural trade deficit has become the norm since 2004 How to make China

8、's agricultural exports continued to develop and increase trade benefits, need to optimize the structure of agricultural products export marginal growth. By Feenstra extension decomposition method and Hummels - Kleno

9、w decomposition methods respectively analyzes our country agricultural product export marginal growth characteristics of time series and cross section , and using the non-parametric kernel density estimation technique an

10、alysis dynamic evolution of distribution characteristics of China's agricultural export growth breadth, quantity, price, in order to accurately study the dynamic change process of agricultural products export margin

11、al growth structure. Further study on trade costs, the relative size of the economy, market access and other factors ?s influences of China's major export partners of marginal growth, and discuss how to improve the s

12、tructure of marginal growth. The results show that: China?s agricultural exports is increasing in the share of world market, and mainly is labor-intensive products , the export market is mainly concentrated in Japan, Kor

13、ea, Hong Kong, the United States, Germany, Malaysia and other regions. From China?s agricultural product export growth of sequence features，cross-sectional characteristics and evolution of dynamic distribution get a unan