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1、本文實(shí)證研究了外商直接投資對(duì)東南亞國(guó)家經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的影響,從而確定吸引外商直接投資的最重要的因素以及影響發(fā)展中國(guó)家經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的長(zhǎng)期可持續(xù)性因素。通過(guò)使用1995-2012年該地區(qū)人力資本、政府支出、貿(mào)易開放度、基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施及通貨膨脹構(gòu)成的面板數(shù)據(jù),建立模型研究影響經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的關(guān)鍵因素。通過(guò)分析,本文采用面板數(shù)據(jù)模型中的混合OLS回歸模型、固定效應(yīng)模型以及隨機(jī)效應(yīng)模型進(jìn)行實(shí)證研究,通過(guò)豪斯曼檢驗(yàn)得出適當(dāng)模型。結(jié)果表明,隨機(jī)效應(yīng)模型的擬合效果最佳,模型
2、采用穩(wěn)定性檢驗(yàn)控制異方差,并通過(guò)LM自相關(guān)檢驗(yàn)。實(shí)證結(jié)果表明,人力資本對(duì)外商直接投資和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)具有正向影響。這一結(jié)果表明東盟國(guó)家應(yīng)優(yōu)先提高教育水平,從而獲得高質(zhì)量的勞動(dòng)力,一定程度上改善只能通過(guò)自然資源吸引外商投資的現(xiàn)狀,同時(shí)也可以提升該地區(qū)就業(yè)水平。這也進(jìn)一步促進(jìn)了具有良好貿(mào)易政策和轉(zhuǎn)移結(jié)構(gòu)的東盟國(guó)家間的投資,從而帶動(dòng)地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)。此外,基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施建設(shè)對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)具有正向影響,說(shuō)明增加基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施建設(shè)也可以有效地吸引外商直接投資。國(guó)家有良好的
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