基于危險源理論的供電企業(yè)動態(tài)安全性評價.pdf

1、摘要危險源是客觀存在的，是導致事故的根源，但危險源不一定會變成危險。危險源也是動態(tài)的，其狀況是不斷變化的，所以要對其進行動態(tài)風險評價。本文將這一思想應用于供電企業(yè)的安全管理，并根據(jù)三類危險源思想提出了基于供電企業(yè)的危險源評價指標體系，然后采用層次分析法和動態(tài)模糊理論相結(jié)合構(gòu)造了此體系的風險評價模型。通過對某供電公司進行實例分析，證明此方法可以對供電企業(yè)的安全狀況進行有效的評價，并且為管理者提高安全管理水平提供科學的參考。關(guān)鍵詞:供電企業(yè)

2、，危險源，動態(tài)模糊評價，安全性ABSTRACTHazards15anobjectiveexisteneethat15therooteauseoftheaeeident，butitwillnotnecessarilybecomeadangeroussoureeofdanger，50weshouldcarryoutriskassessment.ThisideawillbeaPPliedtotheseeuritymanagementofPow

3、ersuPPlyenterPrise，andProPosedtheriskevaluationindexsystembasedonthedangeroussoureeofPowersuPPlyenterPrisewhiehinaecordaneewiththeideaofthreetyPesofdangeroussource，andthenconstruetedtheriskassessmentmodelofthissystemusin

4、gAHPandthetheoryofdynamiefuzzymathematies.ExamPleanalysisofthePowereomPanyinaeertainareahasProvedthatthismethodeaneondueteffeetiveevaluationonthesecuritysituationofelectl:icitysuPPlycomPaniesandcanProvidescientificinform

5、ationformanagerstaisethelevelofsafetymanagement.WeiPeng(TeehniealEeonomiesManagement)DireetedbyProf.LiYanbinKEYWORDS:PowersuPPlyenterPrise，dangeroussouree，dynamiefuzzyevaluation，safety卜華北電力大學碩士學位論文5.1動態(tài)模糊評價方法............

6、.................................................................................……345.1.1隸屬函數(shù)的確定............................……，....................................................……355.1.2權(quán)重系數(shù)的確定........................

7、.................……，，..，……365.2實例驗證................……，.，....................................................................................……405.2.1評價的程序..................................................................

8、............................……405.2.2評語等級的確定.……，..........................................................，……405.2.3群組決策層次分析法權(quán)重系數(shù)的確定..................................................……415.2.4確定隸屬函數(shù).......................

9、...........................................................……415.2.5綜合評價.............……，.............................................................................……，435.3危險源監(jiān)控設(shè)想..............……，.、.....................

10、....……，...................................……45第六章結(jié)論與展望....................……，.........................................……47參考文獻.，............................................................................................