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1、1本科本科畢業(yè)論畢業(yè)論文外文翻文外文翻譯外文外文題目:目:TOURISMASLONGRUNECONOMICGROWTHFACT:THESPANISHCASE出處:PrimeraEdicinJunio2000DepsitoLegal:V25762000作者:者:JacintBalaguerManuelCantavellaJd原文:原文:TOURISMASALONGRUNECONOMICGROWTHFACT:THESPANISHCASEJa
2、cintBalaguerManuelCantavellaJdABSTRACTThispaperexaminestheroleoftourismintheSpanishlongruneconomicdevelopment.Thetouristledgrowthhypothesisistested.TheresultsindicatethatatleastduringthelastthreedecadeseconomicgrowthinSp
3、ainhasbeensensibletopersistentexpansionofinternationaltourism.Theincreaseofthisactivityhasproducedmultipliereffectsovertime.ExternalcompetitivityhasalsobeenprovedinthemodeltobeafundamentalvariablefSpanisheconomicgrowthin
4、thelongrun.Fromtheempiricalanalysisitcanbeinferredthepositiveeffectsonincomethatgovernmentpolicyintheadequacyofsupplyaswellasinthepromotionoftouristactivitymaybringabout.Keywds:economicgrowthinternationaltourismmultiplie
5、reffectsI.INTRODUCTIONAdistinctivefeatureofSpainisitsimptanceasaninternationaltouristdestinationaswellastherelativeweightthatfeignexchangeincomehasinitseconomy.Asamatteroffacttheearningsfromtourismhavesystematically3fact
6、swhichcanhaveeitherapositiveroleanunfavourableimpactoneconomicgrowth.Nontradedgoodsservicesarenotexptablesinthetraditionalsensebecausetheirpriceisnotdeterminedintheinternationalmarketbutinthelocalmarket.Obviouslytourists
7、consumptionofnontradedgoodsserviceshasaimpactontherelativepriceavailabilityofthenontradedgoodsservicesfthedomesticconsumer.Inthestaticframewkthereareatleasttwoanalyticalpaperswhichexaminetherelationshipbetweentourismwelf
8、arewheretouristsconsumenontradedgoodsservices.InthefirstpaperHazariNg(1993)showthatinamonopolypowerframewktourismmaybewelfarereducing.InthesecondpaperHazariKaur(1993)arguethatinaKomiya(1967)typefirstbestmodeltourismisalw
9、ayswelfareimproving.MerecentlyHazariSgro(1995)developedadynamicmodelinwhichafavourableimpactofabuoyantwlddemftourismwouldhaveapositiveeffectonthelongrungrowthofasmalleconomy.Thisfavourableimpactisgeneratedbytourismbehavi
10、ourasatimesavingdevicewhichallowsdomesticpopulationtoconsumenowratherthanlaterduetotherequirementofalowersavingrate.Theremainderstructureofthispaperisganisedasfollows.InsectionIIatourismgrowthmodelispresented.SectionIIId
11、iscussestheemployedmethodologyresults.SectionIVprovidesthemainconclusionsoftheanalysis.II.MODELSPECIFICATIONTIMESERIESANALYSISIndertoexplainthegrowthrateofoutputoverlongperiodsoneisusuallyreferredtoacoupleofcomplementary
12、approaches.Oneisgrowththeywhichmodelstheinteractionsamongfactsuppliesproductivitygrowthsavinginvestmentintheprocessofgrowth.Theotherisgrowthaccountingwhichattemptstoquantifythecontributionofdifferentdeterminantsofoutputg
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