技術創(chuàng)新擴散的機制理論和速度模型的實證研究.pdf

1、中國科學技術大學碩士學位論文技術創(chuàng)新擴散的機制理論和速度模型的實證研究姓名：周偉華申請學位級別：碩士專業(yè)：管理科學指導教師：儲雪林2001.5.1ABSTRACTIntllispaperweexploredsystematicallytechnologicalinnovationdiffusionAtthefirst，westudiedthemechanismoftechnologicalinnovationdiffusionThen，

2、wcdevelopedthediflusionmodelsoftechnologicalirmovationBasedontheempiricalanalysisthetraditionalScurvediflusionmodeliSstudiedWediscussedthemeritsandshortcomingsoftheScurvediflusionmodelInordertoovercometlleshortcomingsoft

3、heScurvediflusionmodelweintroducedanewdiflusionmodelandmadeempiricalanalysisonthismodelforprovingTheintroductionpartofthispaperexpoundedthepracticalsignificanceofthisstudyItalsolaidoutthegeneralframeofthispaperInchapter1

4、，wediscussedthebasicconceptsandtheirimportanceoftechnologicalinnovmiondiffusion，introducedthedevelopmentoftheoryconcerningtechnologicalinnovationdiffusionbrieflyThenwepointedouttheshortcomIngsofexistingtheoriesInchapter2

5、，wediscussedthemechanismoftechnologicalinnovationdiffusion：theadoptionmechanismandtransferoftechnologicalinnovation；threekindsoffunctionalmodelsoftechnologicalinnovationdiffusion；Fourfactorsthataffectthespeedoftechnologi

6、calinnovationdiffusionInchapter3，wethoroughlyexploredthespeedmodelsoftechnolcgicalinnovationdiflusionAtfirsttheSCHIVediffusionmodeliSstudiedUsingthedataobtained(includingdataforcolorTvwashingmachineandrefrigeratorinurban

7、areathedataofblackwhiteTVincountryarea1，wemadeempiricaianalysisonthismodelAsaresult，wefoandthattherearesomeshortcomingsinthismodel，especiallyintheearlystageoftechnologicalinnovationdiffusionAtthisstage，theforecastcapabil

8、ityofScurvemodeIiSlimitedInordertoovercomethisdisadvantageweintroducedanewmodelandmakeanempiricalanalysisonthismodelWefoundthatthisnewmodelreallyhassomemeritsItiSsimplypmcticaiandaccurateAttheendofthispaperwegaveasummari

9、zationofthisworkTakingintoconsiderationofChina’Spracticalsituation，wealsoexplainedthepossibleapplicationsofthisstudyandpointedoutsomedirectionswhichneedfurtherstudyKeyword：diffusionoftechnologicalinnovationdiffusionroode