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    • 簡(jiǎn)介:南開(kāi)大學(xué)學(xué)位論文版權(quán)使用授權(quán)書本人完全了解南開(kāi)大學(xué)關(guān)于收集、保存、使用學(xué)位論文的規(guī)定,同意如下各項(xiàng)內(nèi)容按照學(xué)校要求提交學(xué)位論文的印刷本和電子版本;學(xué)校有權(quán)保存學(xué)位論文的印刷本和電子版,并采用影印、縮印、掃描、數(shù)字化或其它手段保存論文;學(xué)校有權(quán)提供目錄檢索以及提供本學(xué)位論文全文或者部分的閱覽服務(wù);學(xué)校有權(quán)按有關(guān)規(guī)定向國(guó)家有關(guān)部門或者機(jī)構(gòu)送交論文的復(fù)印件和電子版;在不以贏利為目的的前提下,學(xué)??梢赃m當(dāng)復(fù)制論文的部分或全部?jī)?nèi)容用于學(xué)術(shù)活動(dòng)。學(xué)位論文作者簽名繃稚2。O8年弓月埸日經(jīng)指導(dǎo)教師同意,本學(xué)位論文屬于保密,在年解密后適用本授權(quán)書。指導(dǎo)教師簽名學(xué)位論文作者簽名解密時(shí)間年月日各密級(jí)的最長(zhǎng)保密年限及書寫格式規(guī)定如下內(nèi)部5年最長(zhǎng)5年,可少于5年秘密★10年最長(zhǎng)10年,可少?。?0年機(jī)密★20年最長(zhǎng)20年,可少丁.20年摘要摘要對(duì)外貿(mào)易作為經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的外部因素,一直以來(lái)都倍受學(xué)者們的關(guān)注。盡管推動(dòng)一個(gè)國(guó)家經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的因素很多,但是隨著經(jīng)濟(jì)全球化和區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)一體化的發(fā)展,對(duì)外貿(mào)易對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的促進(jìn)作用越來(lái)越大。改革開(kāi)放以來(lái),我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)的快速增長(zhǎng)和對(duì)外貿(mào)易的不斷繁榮使其成為國(guó)內(nèi)外學(xué)者的研究焦點(diǎn)。但是我國(guó)幅員遼闊,各省市之間的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平差異很大。因此,在一個(gè)相對(duì)具體的區(qū)域內(nèi),在相對(duì)穩(wěn)定的經(jīng)濟(jì)和政策條件下,研究一個(gè)地區(qū)對(duì)外貿(mào)易與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的關(guān)系,更加符合一個(gè)地區(qū)的實(shí)際情況,更加有利于為一個(gè)地區(qū)的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展提供可靠的依據(jù)。本文把天津作為研究目標(biāo)。改革丌放以后天津的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展明顯好于之前,經(jīng)濟(jì)增幅明顯提高。隨著天津經(jīng)濟(jì)的增長(zhǎng),進(jìn)出口貿(mào)易不斷擴(kuò)張,貿(mào)易增長(zhǎng)對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的促進(jìn)作用也非常明顯。因此,本文從天津現(xiàn)有的實(shí)際資料入手,在前人研究的基礎(chǔ)上,采用理論與實(shí)證相結(jié)合的方法,分析和研究天津?qū)ν赓Q(mào)易與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)之間的關(guān)系。論文第一章首先回顧了研究背景和文獻(xiàn)綜述,引申出對(duì)天津?qū)ν赓Q(mào)易與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)關(guān)系的研究方法和思路,歸納出論文的創(chuàng)新點(diǎn)。第二章系統(tǒng)地闡述了有關(guān)對(duì)外貿(mào)易促進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的主要理論,分析了對(duì)外貿(mào)易推動(dòng)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的作用機(jī)制。第三章研究了天津經(jīng)濟(jì)和對(duì)外貿(mào)易的現(xiàn)狀,通過(guò)大量的數(shù)據(jù)資料反映了天津?qū)ν赓Q(mào)易發(fā)展的總量特征和結(jié)構(gòu)特征,包括對(duì)天津外貿(mào)總量、外貿(mào)商品結(jié)構(gòu)、加工貿(mào)易、外貿(mào)出口企業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)、外貿(mào)出口市場(chǎng)結(jié)構(gòu)的分析。第四章分析了天津?qū)ν赓Q(mào)易與經(jīng)濟(jì)運(yùn)行之間的相關(guān)性,包括天津?qū)ν赓Q(mào)易依存度分析和天津?qū)ν赓Q(mào)易對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的貢獻(xiàn)分析兩個(gè)部分。通過(guò)以上兩章的分析得出判斷天津?qū)ν赓Q(mào)易依存度很高,對(duì)外貿(mào)易發(fā)展與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的軌跡是一致的,外貿(mào)對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的拉動(dòng)作用很強(qiáng),且出口的作用大于進(jìn)口。從結(jié)構(gòu)來(lái)講,天津出口商品結(jié)構(gòu)穩(wěn)定且趨于優(yōu)化,但出口市場(chǎng)較為集中。第五章利用協(xié)整分析方法和誤差修『F模型對(duì)天津出口、進(jìn)口和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)三個(gè)因素的關(guān)系進(jìn)行實(shí)證分析。借助EVIEWS5.0計(jì)量分析軟件,對(duì)天津19902007年的數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行OLS回歸、ADF檢驗(yàn)、協(xié)整分析、GRANGER因果關(guān)系檢驗(yàn),建立誤差修『F模型。實(shí)證分析結(jié)果是
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    • 簡(jiǎn)介:南開(kāi)大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文SA8000標(biāo)準(zhǔn)的經(jīng)濟(jì)效應(yīng)及對(duì)中國(guó)進(jìn)出口貿(mào)易的影響姓名李玉娜申請(qǐng)學(xué)位級(jí)別碩士專業(yè)國(guó)際貿(mào)易學(xué)指導(dǎo)教師劉重力20070501
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    • 簡(jiǎn)介:中南大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文基于政治經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)分析的中國(guó)貿(mào)易適度保護(hù)政策研究姓名位芳申請(qǐng)學(xué)位級(jí)別碩士專業(yè)國(guó)際貿(mào)易學(xué)指導(dǎo)教師馮正強(qiáng)20061201ABSTRACTTHEREHAVEALWAYSBEENHEATEDDISPUTESANDDISAGREEMENTSBETWEENFREETRADEPOLICYANDPROTECTIVETRADEPOLICYINTHEDEVELOPMENTOFINTEMATIONALTRADEANDTHEEVOLUTIONOFTRADEPOLICIESTHEREISHOWEVERNOSUCHAPOLICYASABSOLUTE“FREETRADE”O(jiān)RFULLPROTECTIVETRADEONLYEXISTINGINABSTRACTTHEORIESOFTRADESPECIFICTRADEPOLICIESARESOCIALPRODUCTSUNDERVARIOUSRESTRICTIONSHOMEANDABROAD,INFORMOFACOMBINATIONOFTHETWOPOLICIESWITHONEGIVENTHEPRIMACYANDITISTHESANLEWITHCHINA’STRADEPOLICYWITHTHEDEVELOPMENTOFECONOMYGLOBALIZATION,THEFACTTHATMANYDEVELOPEDCOUNTRIESHAVESWISHEDTHEIRPOLICYTOSTRATEGICPROTECTIVETRADEPOLICYMAKESCHINA,THEALREADYTHIRDBIGGESTTRADINGPOWERFACEMORECHALLENGESANDAREASONABLEADJUSTMENTSOITISNECESSARYFORCHINATOPERFORMAMODERATEPROTECTIONTRADEPOLICYBASEDONTLLETHEORYFRAMEWORKOFPOLITICALECONOMYFROMTHETHREETHEORIESOFIMPROVEDTRADECONDITION,MARKETFAILUREANDSTRATEGICTRADEPOLICYITISEXPLAINEDTHATTHEANALYSISOFPUREECONOMICSCANNOTABSOLUTELYEXPLAINTHEEXACTPROTECTIONOFTRADEITISOBTAINEDTHATPOLITICALECONOMYTHEORIESHELPTOJUSTIFYAMODERATEPROTECTIVE仃ADETHEMODERATEPROTECTIONOFCHINA’STRADEPOLICYISANALYZEDANDDISCUSSEDFIRSTLYBEGINNINGWITHTHEDISPUTEBETWEENFLEETRADEANDPROTECTIVETRADE,THERATIONALITYOFFREETRADEANDTHEIUSTICEOFPROTECTIVETRADEAREANALYZEDINTHEORYINTHISPAPERADMITTINGTHERATIONALITYOFFREETRADEPOLICYTHEJUSTICEOFPROTECTIVETRADEPOLICYISANALYZEDFROMTHEPERSPECTIVESOFPUREECONOMICSANDPOLITICALECONOMYRESPECTIVELYSECONDLYTHEINTERNALBALANCETARGETITSNATIONALINTERESTSANDEXTERNALENVIRONMENTSOFCHINA’STRADEPOLICYAREINTRODUCEDONONEHAND,THERELATIONOFTHEGOVEMMENT’SINTERNALTARGETANDGROUPINTERESTSUPONITSTRADEPOLICYISREVEALEDBYANALYZINGTHEGREATINFLUENCEBETWEENINTERNALTARGETANDGROUPINTERESTSONTHEOTHERHAND,BASEDONSTRATEGICPOSITIONOFNATIONALINTERESTSCHINA’STRADEPOLICYINFLUENCEDBYTHEATMOSPHEREOFINTEMATIONALTRADEENVIRONMENTSUNDERWTOFRAMEWORKFROMMULTILATERALTRADESYSTEMANDECONOMYSECURITYISDISCUSSED11
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    • 簡(jiǎn)介:Y102858乏參北對(duì)話犬虧碩士學(xué)位論文論文題目歐盟經(jīng)濟(jì)一體化中的貿(mào)易政簧秒究學(xué)科、專業(yè)碩士生國(guó)際貿(mào)易蘆劉熠指導(dǎo)教師李東陽(yáng)教授答辯日期200L年】2月日ABSTRACTASTHEEXPANSIONOFTRADEQUANTITYANDTHEENHANCEMENTOFTHEDEPENDANCEONINTERNATIONALTRADE,THETRENDOFREGIONECONOMICINTEGRATION,WHICHREPRESENTSTHEINTERNATIONALCOOPERATION,ISSWEEPINGTHEWORLDAFTERHAVINGESTABLISHEDAREGIONECONOMICINTEGRATION,MEMBERCOUNTRIESWOULDCONSIDERTODRAWTHECONSTITUTIONOFCOMMONTRADEPOLICYFORTHEIRORGANIZATIONWITHTHELONGHISTORY,EUROPEANUNIONISTHEBIGGESTTRADEGROUPINTHEWORLD,ANDITHASFORMEDABETTERSYSTEMTHANOTHERS,SOITBECOMESTHEFAVORABLESTUDYOBJECTSINCE1952,ALTHORL曲EUROPE’SINTEGRATIONSUFFEREDSOMEFRUSTRATIONS,ITHASACHIEVEDALLOUTSTANDINGACHIEVEMENTAMONGTHEPOLICIESESTABLISHEDBYEU,THETRADEPOLICYISTHEFIRSTANDMOSTMATUREPOLICYITHASDISTINCTECONOMICIMPACTONEUANDMAKESTHEORGANIZATIONAPOLEOFTHEWORLDACCORDINGLY,THERESEARCHTOWARDSEU’STRADEPOLICYWILLHAVEGREATAPOCALYPSESFOROTHERECONOMICINTEGRATIONORGANIZATIONSANDDEEPENTHEUNDERSTANDINGTOWARDSREGIONINTEGRATIONTHEORIESWHICHHAVERELATIONSHIPWITHTRADETHEECONOMICAVAILMAKESUSCLEARTHEEFFECTSOFDIFFERENTTRADEPOLICIES,DEEPENOURAPPREHENSIONONTRADEPOLICIES,SOTHATWECANUSEDIFFERENTKINDSOFTRADEPOLICIESFLEXIBLYTHEFIRSTCHAPTEROFTHISPAPERINTRODUCESTHEBASICCONCEPTIONOFINTEGRATION,REGIONECONOMICINTEGRATIONANDEUROPEANUNIONITALSEFERSBACKTHEHISTORYOFEUBRIEFLY,ESPECIALLYTHEHISTORYOFEU’STRADEPOLICYTHESECONDCHAPTERTELLSTHEORIESWHICHARECONCERNEDWITHTRADEANDACCORDWITHTHEECONOMICSITUATIONOFEUINREGIONECONOMICINTEGRATIONTHEORIESITINCLUDESZOLLVEREINTHEORY,COMMONMARKETTHEORYANDINTERDEPENDENCETHEORY,ANDTHENGIVESASIMPLEJUDGMENTTOTHEMTHETHIRDCHAPTERLISTSSEVERALIMPORTANTTMDEPOLICIESWHICHSIGNIFICANTLYINFLUENCEEU’SECONOMY,SUCHASTHEZOLLVEREINPOLICY,THECOMMONAGRICULTURALPOLICY,THEANTIDUMPINGANDANTISUBSIDINGPOLICY,ANDTHEPOLICYTODEVELOPINGCOUNTRIESTHEFOURTHCHAPTEREXPOUNDSTHEECONOMICEFFECTSOFTHECOMMONTRADEPOLICY,ANDANALYZESTHEREASONSOFTHEEFFECTS
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    • 簡(jiǎn)介:南開(kāi)大學(xué)學(xué)位論文版權(quán)使用授權(quán)書OO23549本人完全了解南開(kāi)大學(xué)關(guān)于收集、保存、使用學(xué)位論文的規(guī)定,同意如下各項(xiàng)內(nèi)容按照學(xué)校要求提交學(xué)位‘、F侖文的印刷本和電子版本;學(xué)校有權(quán)保存學(xué)位論文的印刷本和電子版,并采用影印、縮印、掃描、數(shù)字化或其它手段保存論文;學(xué)校有權(quán)提供目錄檢索以及提供本學(xué)位論文全文或者部分的閱見(jiàn)IIA““ILII遼了務(wù);學(xué)校有權(quán)按有關(guān)規(guī)定向國(guó)家有關(guān)部門或者機(jī)構(gòu)送交論文的復(fù)印件和電子版;在不以贏利為目的的前提下,學(xué)??梢赃m當(dāng)復(fù)制論文的部分駐釉棚于矧斟翮。?一魏舞吮燕學(xué)位論文作者簽名’F。Z矽力7年LLY3Z。臼?????????一搿鞲頓J節(jié)阿惹一本孚蒞I阪7蘺于葆蠆一在’年解密后適用本授權(quán)書。指導(dǎo)教師簽名學(xué)位論文作者簽名解密時(shí)間年月日各密級(jí)的最長(zhǎng)保密年限及書寫格式規(guī)定如下?~一?’’?!?‘‘。‘?!啊??!!???!癬‘‘‘’內(nèi)部5年最長(zhǎng)5年,可少予5年秘密★10年最長(zhǎng)LO年,可少于10年機(jī)密★20年最長(zhǎng)20年,可少于20年’‘。。。。。。。。。。。。。。?!!?。。?!?。?!綥L內(nèi)容提要內(nèi)容提要擴(kuò)大后的歐盟包括二十七個(gè)成員國(guó),是世界最大的經(jīng)濟(jì)體,對(duì)外貿(mào)易量全球第一。而中國(guó)作為最大的發(fā)展中國(guó)家,是世界第四大經(jīng)濟(jì)體和第三大貿(mào)易國(guó)。中國(guó)和歐盟之間的經(jīng)貿(mào)關(guān)系在世界貿(mào)易中占有舉足輕重的地位。目前,歐盟是中國(guó)第一大貿(mào)易伙伴,而中國(guó)也成為僅次于美國(guó)的歐盟第二大貿(mào)易伙伴。但是,伴隨著中歐雙方貿(mào)易額的快速增長(zhǎng),中歐經(jīng)貿(mào)摩擦也在不斷增長(zhǎng),某些貿(mào)易摩擦案件成為國(guó)際社會(huì)的焦點(diǎn),引起了國(guó)際社會(huì)的廣泛關(guān)注。本文第一章將對(duì)貿(mào)易摩擦的形式及其理論根源進(jìn)行梳理,找出歐盟對(duì)華貿(mào)易保護(hù)主義政策產(chǎn)生的理論來(lái)源。第二章將概述中歐貿(mào)易摩擦的發(fā)展歷程、現(xiàn)階段中歐貿(mào)易摩擦的特點(diǎn),以及引發(fā)中歐貿(mào)易摩擦的主要形式。第三章試從政治經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)角度對(duì)中歐貿(mào)易關(guān)系進(jìn)行深層次分析,找出造成中歐貿(mào)易摩擦的國(guó)際、歐盟、國(guó)內(nèi)等方面的因素,同時(shí)也找出可以制約貿(mào)易摩擦升級(jí)的因素。此外,本章還對(duì)影響歐盟整體貿(mào)易決策的貿(mào)易管理體制及主要政治力量進(jìn)行了分析。在第四章中,本文將探討我國(guó)如何更好地應(yīng)對(duì)中歐貿(mào)易摩擦,促進(jìn)中歐經(jīng)貿(mào)關(guān)系的健康發(fā)展。本文最后得出的結(jié)論是,盡管歐盟東擴(kuò)后對(duì)外貿(mào)易政策顯示出保護(hù)主義傾向,并可能成為今后一個(gè)時(shí)期歐盟處理對(duì)華貿(mào)易關(guān)系的基調(diào)。但中歐關(guān)系的進(jìn)一步發(fā)展符合中歐雙方的根本利益。中歐貿(mào)易摩擦雖將是個(gè)長(zhǎng)期的過(guò)程,并有可能激化,但會(huì)限制在一定的范圍內(nèi),發(fā)生貿(mào)易戰(zhàn)的可能性不大,亦不會(huì)影響到中歐經(jīng)貿(mào)關(guān)系不斷深化發(fā)展的大局。關(guān)鍵詞歐盟中國(guó)貿(mào)易摩擦對(duì)策
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    • 簡(jiǎn)介:對(duì)外經(jīng)濟(jì)貿(mào)易大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文冷戰(zhàn)后中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)外交對(duì)國(guó)際貿(mào)易的影響姓名李仕鵬申請(qǐng)學(xué)位級(jí)別碩士專業(yè)國(guó)際貿(mào)易學(xué)指導(dǎo)教師韓琪20070301ABSTRACTECONOMICDIPLOMACYREFERSTOTHEFOREIGNEXCHANGESANDACTIVITIESCONDUCTEDFORREALIZINGECONOMICGOALSANDSERVINGECONOMICBENEFITS0RFORREALIZINGANDSTICKINGUPFORNATIONALSTRATEGICPURPOSESBYORTELYINGOHECONOMICMEANSAFTERTHEENDOFTHECOLDWARCHINA’SECONOMICDIPLOMACYHASMADEAGREATACHIEVEMENTINPARTICULARCHINASECONOMICDIPLOMACYHASHADAGREATIMPACTONTHEASPECTOFTHEINTERNATIONALTRADEHOWEVERCHINA’SECONOMICDIPLOMACYISSTILLINTHESTARTINGPHASEANDWENEED協(xié)DOMORETOIMPROVEITTHISARTICLETAKESCHINASECONOMICDIPLOMACYASTHERESEARCHOBJECTANDFOCUSESONTHEANGLEOFTHEINTERNATIONALTRADE。FIRSTDISCUSSEDTHEBASICCONCEPTOFTHEECONOMICDIPLOMACY;SECOND,INTRODUCEDTHETHREEPHASEDEVELOPMENTOFCHINA’SECONOMICDIPLOMACYINTHEPOSTCOLDWARPERIOD;THIRDELABORATEDTHECONCRETEIMPACTOFCHINASECONOMICDIPIOMACYUPONTHEINTERNATIONALTRADEAFTERTHECOLDWAR;FORTH,THOROUGHLYANALYZEDTHEINEVITABILITYANDINDISPENSABILITYOFTHEECONOMICDIPLOMACY’SIMPACTONTHEINTERNATIONALTRADEFROMTHEASPECTOFTHETHEORETICROOTS,THEINTERNATIONALTIDEANDTHESTATUSQUOOFCHINA;FINALLYPROPOSEDTHERELEVANTMEASURESTOSTRENGTHENCHINA%ECONOMICDIPLOMACYKEYWORDSPOSTCOLDWARPERIOD,ECONOMICDIPLOMACYINTERNATIONALTRADEIMPACT
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    • 簡(jiǎn)介:糞旦望王L』西北大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文題月墮鹽宣墨墮盎國(guó)絲疊旦塑遮疊盟受煎盟塞作者趙盈指導(dǎo)教師型蘊(yùn)專業(yè)技術(shù)職稱麴攫學(xué)科專業(yè)世晷經(jīng)進(jìn)答辯同期200764學(xué)位授予日期THERESEARCHONINFLUENCEFOREIGNTRADEEXERTSONCHINA’SBUSINESSCYCLEABSTRACTTHEBUSINESSCYCLEISACOMPLICATEDPHENOMENONINECONOMICALOPERATIONANDTHERESEARCHONBUSINESSCYCLEISALLATTRACTINGISSUEHOWEVERWITHTHERAPIDDEVELOPMENTOFECONOMICGLOBALIZATIONMOREANDMOREFOREIGNTRADEANDTRANSNATIOALFMANCIALACTIVITIESAREUNDERTAKEN,ANDITISRECOGNIZEDTHATTHETHEORETICALANALYSISOFBUSINESSCYCLESHOULDNOTBEDONEONLYWITHINTHEFRAMEWORKOFCLOSEDECONOMYUNDERTHEOPENINGECONOMICCIRCUMSTANCES,ONECOUNTRYCALLTRANSMITITSOWNECONOMICFLUCTUATIONTOOTHERCOUNTRIESOFTHERESTWORLDTHROUIGHTRADEANDFMANCIALCHANNELS,INREVERSE,THEECONOMYOFTHESAMECOUNTRYWOULDBEAFFECTEDSERIOUSLYBYOTHERCOUNTRIESINTHESAMEWAYCONSEQUENTLYITISWORTHWHILEANDOFGREATSENSETOSTUDYTHEBUSINESSCYCLETRANSMISSIONMECHANISMOFFOREIGNTRADEBASEDONTHESTUDYOFFOREIGNTRADEANDBUSINESSCYCLE,THISTHESISANALYSESTHEINFLUENCEFOREIGNTRADEEXERTSONCHINA’SBUSINESSCYCLEFROMTHEORETICALANDEMPIRICALSTUDY,USINGMANYECONOMETRICANALYSIS,SUCHASCOINLEGRATIONTESTSADFUNITROOTTESTANDPULSERESPONSEFUNCTIONFURTHERMORE,THISTHESISUSESEMPIRICALANALYSISINTRADEOPENNESSANDTHEFOREIGNTRADESHOCKTOCHINA’SBUSINESSCYCLE,F(xiàn)ROMSUCHANALYSIS,F(xiàn)IRSTLYTHETHESISEXPOUNDSTHATTHEREISACLOSERELATIONSHIPBETWEENFOREIGNTRADEANDBUSINESSCYCLE;SECONDLYFOREIGNTRADEHASBOTHSHORTTERMANDLONGTERMPROMOTEFUNCTIONTOGDFTRADEFLUCTUATIONESPECIALLYTHEEXPORTFLUCTUATIONEXERTSANSIGNIFICANTINFLUENCEONBUSINESSCYCLETHIRDLYTHEACTIVEEFFECTOUTWEIGHSTHENEGATIVEEFFECTWHICHTHEFOREIGNTRADEBRINGS,ANDTHEREASONISTHATTHENEGATIVEEFFECTISASSIMILATEDBYCHINAECONOMYSGROWTH,SOTHERIGHTCHOICEOFCHINAISTOPERFECTTHEMARKETECONOMYSYSTEM,ESTABLISHTHEBALANCESYSTEMOFBOTHTHEHOMELANDANDTHEABROAD,TOAVOIDTHEEXTENSIVEECONOMICFLUCTUATION,ANDINORDERTOMAINTAINTHETRENDOFSTABLEECONOMICGROWTHKEYWORDSFOREIGNTRADEBUSINESSCYCLE;OUTPUTFLUCTUATIONⅡ
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    • 簡(jiǎn)介:上海交通大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文論中美貿(mào)易對(duì)美國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)政治的影響以人民幣匯率為視角的國(guó)際政治經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)分析姓名張嘉棻申請(qǐng)學(xué)位級(jí)別碩士專業(yè)國(guó)際關(guān)系指導(dǎo)教師葉江20080125THEIMPACTOFSINOUSTRADEONTHEUSECONOMYANDPOLITICSANIPEANALYSISFROMTHERENMINBIEXCHANGERATEPERSPECTIVEABSTRACTCHINA’SECONOMICRISEHASLEDTOSUBSTANTIALGROWTHINUSCHINAECONOMICRELATIONSTOTALTRADEBETWEENTHETWOCOUNTRIESHASSURGEDFROM49BILLIONIN1980TOANESTIMATED343BILLIONIN2006FORTHEUNITEDSTATES,CHINAISNOWITSSECONDLARGESTTRADINGPARTNER,ITSFOURTHLARGESTEXPORTMARKET,ANDITSSECONDLARGESTSOURCEOFIMPORTSINEXPENSIVECHINESEIMPORTSHAVEINCREASEDTHEPURCHASINGPOWEROFUSCONSUMERSHOWEVER,THEEMERGENCEOFCHINAASAMAJORECONOMICSUPERPOWERHASRAISEDCONCERNAMONGMANYUSPOLICYMAKERSSOMEEXPRESSCONCERNTHATCHINAWILLOVERTAKETHEUNITEDSTATESASTHEWORLD’SLARGESTTRADINGECONOMYINAFEWYEARSANDASTHEWORLD’SLARGESTECONOMYWITHINTHENEXTTWODECADESINTHISCONTEXT,CHINA’SRISEISVIEWEDASAMERICA’SRELATIVEDECLINETHISPAPEREXAMINESTHEIMPLICATIONSBOTHCHALLENGESANDOPPORTUNITIESFORTHEUSECONOMYFROMCHINA’SRAPIDECONOMICGROWTHANDITSEMERGENCEASAMAJORECONOMICPOWER
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    • 簡(jiǎn)介:西南財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)博士學(xué)位論文FDI和東道國(guó)對(duì)外貿(mào)易、經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)以及資本外逃的關(guān)系基于對(duì)中國(guó)的實(shí)證分析姓名朱宇申請(qǐng)學(xué)位級(jí)別博士專業(yè)國(guó)際貿(mào)易學(xué)指導(dǎo)教師尹忠明20080401FDI和東道國(guó)對(duì)外貿(mào)易、經(jīng)濟(jì)增K以及資本外逃的關(guān)系基于對(duì)中國(guó)的實(shí)證分析FDI流入和中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的關(guān)系。本論文把對(duì)該問(wèn)題的研究分為兩個(gè)方面,分別研究1FDI流入對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的中長(zhǎng)期影響,和2FDI流入對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的短期影響。在以往研究的基礎(chǔ)上,本論文構(gòu)建了一些新的計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)模型,試圖從實(shí)證的角度考察FDI流入對(duì)中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的中長(zhǎng)期影響和短期影響。1為了研究FDI流入對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的中長(zhǎng)期影響以及FDI流入的具體效應(yīng),本論文在COBBDOUGLAS生產(chǎn)函數(shù)中分別考慮納入FDI的要素效應(yīng)和溢出效應(yīng),并重新給出了溢出效應(yīng)的估算公式,以此為基礎(chǔ)構(gòu)建了一些單方程協(xié)整模型和ECM,分別刻畫FDI流入和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的長(zhǎng)期靜態(tài)關(guān)系和中期動(dòng)態(tài)關(guān)系。用中國(guó)宏觀年度數(shù)據(jù)作為樣本對(duì)模型進(jìn)行參數(shù)估計(jì),據(jù)此考察FDI流入對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的中長(zhǎng)期影響大小。2為了研究FDI流入對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的短期動(dòng)態(tài)影響,同時(shí)避免以往研究中出現(xiàn)的在沒(méi)有理論模型情況下構(gòu)建單方程實(shí)證模型引起的解釋變量?jī)?nèi)生性問(wèn)題、使用年度數(shù)據(jù)引起的樣本容量過(guò)小等問(wèn)題,本論文構(gòu)建了一個(gè)無(wú)協(xié)整約束的一階差分VAR模型,以FDI、出口和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)作為該VAR模型的內(nèi)生變量,刻畫FDI流入和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的短期動(dòng)態(tài)關(guān)系。用大容量的中國(guó)宏觀季度數(shù)據(jù)作為樣本對(duì)該模型進(jìn)行參數(shù)估計(jì)、脈沖響應(yīng)函數(shù)估計(jì)和方差分解,據(jù)此考察FDI流入對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的短期影響大小。FDI流入和中國(guó)資本外逃的關(guān)系。在以往研究的基礎(chǔ)上,本論文構(gòu)建了兩個(gè)新的理論模型和一些新的計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)模型,試圖從1微脫理論的角度和2宏觀實(shí)證的角度分別研究FDI流入和資本外逃之問(wèn)的微觀關(guān)系和宏觀關(guān)系。1為解決以往實(shí)證研究中出現(xiàn)的在構(gòu)建單方程實(shí)證模型時(shí)缺乏理論基礎(chǔ)的問(wèn)題,本論文構(gòu)建一個(gè)微觀博弈分析框架,并在該框架下從理性和有限理性兩個(gè)角度出發(fā)分別構(gòu)建兩個(gè)長(zhǎng)期博弈模型,刻畫在資本管制和對(duì)內(nèi)外資優(yōu)惠的條件下,涉外企業(yè)和資金監(jiān)管部門的行為。通過(guò)求解模型的長(zhǎng)期均衡,得到這兩個(gè)行為主體經(jīng)過(guò)相互博弈后各自的行為特征。據(jù)此考察企業(yè)通過(guò)FDI和出口等方式參與資本外逃的動(dòng)機(jī)和可能性,以及FDI流入、出口和資本外逃之間的微觀聯(lián)系。2為了得到FDI流入和資本外逃聯(lián)系的宏觀證據(jù),在以往實(shí)證研究的基礎(chǔ)上,本論文用協(xié)整方法和ECM方法構(gòu)建了一些單方程模型,用中國(guó)宏觀年度數(shù)據(jù)作為樣本估計(jì)模型的參數(shù)。以此為基礎(chǔ),考察FDI流入、出口和資本外逃這3者之劇的長(zhǎng)期靜態(tài)關(guān)系和中期動(dòng)態(tài)關(guān)系。2
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    • 簡(jiǎn)介:南開(kāi)大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文我國(guó)貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)對(duì)技術(shù)進(jìn)步與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的影響研究姓名楊津申請(qǐng)學(xué)位級(jí)別碩士專業(yè)世界經(jīng)濟(jì)指導(dǎo)教師張伯偉20070501
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