基于競(jìng)價(jià)上網(wǎng)系統(tǒng)的電力負(fù)荷預(yù)測(cè)算法研究及應(yīng)用.pdf

1、華中科技大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文基于競(jìng)價(jià)上網(wǎng)系統(tǒng)的電力負(fù)荷預(yù)測(cè)算法研究及應(yīng)用姓名：王鋒申請(qǐng)學(xué)位級(jí)別：碩士專(zhuān)業(yè)：系統(tǒng)工程指導(dǎo)教師：羅云峰20040325華中科技大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文AbstractElectricloadforecastingisveryimportantforthecontrolling，circulatingandplanningofelectricpowersystemImprovingtheforecastingprecisi

2、onofelectricpowersystemnotonlycarlincreasethesecurityofpowersystem，butalsocarlfarthestsupportthepricingelectricityintheelectricpowermarketWiththebackgroundofthedesignoftheDecisionSupportSystemofxiang’tanelectricpowerfact

3、ory，thisthesisdescribesthemethodsandtheproblemsaboutelectricloadforecasting，andthesoftwaredesignthinkingandtechnologiesofforecastingsoftwaresubsystemWiththeactualsituationsofeteclxicloadinHuNanprovince，thisthesisdescribe

4、stheforecastingtheoryandthefactorsinfluencingtheelectricloadforecasting，analysesthemaincharacteristicandthemathematicmodelsofeveryforecastingmethod，Intheambulationaveragemethod，thisthesisinventsaerrorcorrectmethodbetween

5、loadandtemperature，andinthetimeseriesapproachmethod，thisthesisinventsanothererrorcorrectmethodwhichaddsthetrendfactorintherandomfactorThethesisgoesintoparticularsdiscussestheanalysis，designandexploitationofforecastingmod

6、elThenthisthesisspeciallyexplorestheindexesoferrorandforecasting，theprocessmethodsandthechoicemethodsofelectricIoadoriginaldata，Thethesisalsodiscussestheforecastingprocessandapproachofelectricloadforecastingbasedonanactu

7、aldataexampleInthenext，thisthesisdiscussesthedesign，handlingandissueofthemodelandconceptiondatamodeloftheDecisionSupportSystemAccordingtothedifferentcharacteristicsofeveryforecastingmethods，theclassificationdesigntheorya

8、ndinterfacetechnologyoftheforecastingmethodsinthemodelwarehousearesuggestedAttheendofthispapertheauthormakessomeconclusionsofthesystem，andgivessomeadvicesforthefuturetasksKeywords：ForecastingtheoryForecastingmethodElectr