小麥品種與小麥條銹病菌小種聚集度分析以及小種動態(tài)預(yù)測研究.pdf_第1頁
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1、中國農(nóng)業(yè)大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文小麥品種與小麥條銹病菌小種聚集度分析以及小種動態(tài)預(yù)測研究姓名:胡家懷申請學(xué)位級別:碩士專業(yè):植物病理學(xué)指導(dǎo)教師:肖悅巖20030501AbstractThedataofplantingacreagesofwheatvarietyandoccuffingfrequencyofphysiologicalraceofPucciniastriifoⅢ括Westfrom1975to2000werecollectedanda

2、nalyzedAggregationindexwasemployedtocharacterizewheatvarietyandracepopulationandtheirspatiotemporalrelationshipByusinghillplotnurseriesinoculatedwithsinglelace,byanalyzingthehistoricaldataofvarietiesresistancetophysiolog

3、icalracePstriiformisandbyexpertevaluationtheapplicablerelativeparasiticfitnessofPstriformiswasobtainedBasedonthesedata,amodelofinteractionbetweenmulti—varietyandmultirace,namedCRDMwasestablishedtoexplorethelikelihoodofpr

4、edictingthedynamicsofwheatyellowrustfungiThedetailresultsareasfollows:1ARercomparingseveralkindsofaggregationindex,anewaggregationindex,Aiwasdefinedbythesquareofmeanandstandardvarianceofthe10foremostracessortedbytheoccur

5、ringfrequencyThatisAi=4MStdTheindexwasnotaffectedby“otherraceandpathotype’’indetectingdataofPstriiformisracepopulationandcouldbetterreflectthedegreeofaggregationofracepopulation2Thetemporalsequencerelationshipoflaceaggre

6、gationCHIveamongGansu,Henan。Hubei,Shandong,SichuanandShanxiprovinceandbetweenwheatvarietyandvacewereanalyzedhyusingcorrelationmethodTheresultsshowedGansuprovincewherePstriiformiscouldeasilymutatewasthesourceplaceofnewphy

7、siologicalraces,Wheatvarietyaggregationaffectedraceaggregation,buttheraceaggregationlaggedbehindwheatvariety,forexample,twoyearsinGansuprovince3Byusingthedataoffieldexperimentandhistoricalaccumulationofwheatvarietyresist

8、ance,the2152combinations’relativeparasiticfitnessamong192variety。24raceswerefiguredoutbythemethodofcomplexdiseaseindexInaddition,expertsofwheatyellowrustdiseaseestimatedtherestofthecombinationsInthisexperiment,weexplored

9、somemethodstousinghistoricaldataAtthesametime,severalmethodsweretriedtoachievemoreapplicabledata,whichestablishedasolidgroundforCRDM4CRDM,amodelofinteractionbetweenmultivarietyandmultiracewasestablishedThedataofthehistor

10、icalraceofwheatyellowrustdisease,theplantingacreagesofthemain192wheatcultivarsandtherelativefitnessof192varieties24mainlacesorpathotypeswereinputintothismodel,andthen,usingVisualbasic60toprogramthismodelandtosimulatethef

11、requencychangeofallthelaceswiththecultivardatabase,thefitnessdatabaseandtheracefrequencydatabaseThepreliminaryrunningresultsshowedthatthismodelcanpreditthetrendofraceoccurringfrequency,althoughitsstructurewassimpleThemos

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