工程項目投資風險管理研究.pdf

1、河北農(nóng)業(yè)大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文工程項目投資風險管理研究姓名：劉國東申請學(xué)位級別：碩士專業(yè)：土地資源管理指導(dǎo)教師：趙世強20050612Researchon勝ManagementofProjectInvestmentMastercandidate：LiuGuodongSpecialty：LandResourceManagementSupervisor：ZhaoShiqiangAbstractRiskmanagementiscrucialinpr

2、ojectinvestmentmanagementThedifficultyinriskmanagementincreaseswiththecharacteristicsofacertainprojectsinvestmentandtheuncertaintyofexternalenvironmentThispaperprovidessometheoriesandmethodsfortheinvestorstoidentifyrisks

3、，quantifyrisks，evaluaterisksandmakedecisionsbyapplyingriskbenefittheoryprospecttheoryandpsychologytiskmanagementofprojectinvestmentTheresearchworkdonebythewriterisoutlinedasbelow：FirstlythemethodstOclassifyriskfactorsinp

4、rojectinvestmentwereexpoundedaccordingtocharacteristicsofprojectinvestmentThenecessitymotivationorganization，goalandprocedureofprojectinvestmentarealsodiscussedinthispartRiskmanagementofprojectinvestmentincludesmainlytwo

5、aspects，riskanalysisandriskdecisionTheprocessofriskanalysisincludesriskidentification，riskquantificationandriskevaluationInthispartofdiscussion，twokindsofbiasesinriskquantificationarehighlightedtoassistriskmanagerstOquan

6、tifyrisksmoreaccuratelyRiskanalysisprovidingbasisfortheinvestmentriskdecision，isnottheonlyconcernofriskmanagementforprojectinvestmentInthepapertherelevanttheoriessuchasthetheoryofprospectandthetheoryofpsychologyareapplie

7、dtothediscussionofriskdecision，111e印plicationsofriskprofitpreference，riskeffect，andprospecttheoryaswellasresponsedecisionforriskmanagementaremainlyexploredTheaimofthisarticleistOsetupafundamentaldecisionsupportsystemofpr

8、ojectsbyconductingsoundtheoreticalknowledgestemsfromsystemmanagementanddecisionsupportsystem，forthepurposeofassistingtheriskmanagementdecisionsupportsystemwitIldecisionmakingofprojecNinvestmentmanagementBasedonthegoalsof

9、riskmanagementofprojectinvestmentandtheprincipleofbeingscientific，systematic，comprehensive，compatibleandextendible，thearticle，first，designsandplanSthefunctionmoduleaccordingtotheprocedureofriskmanagementThefunctionmodule

10、iscomposedoffivesubsystems，whichincludesriskidentification，riskquantification，riskevaluation，riskdecision，riskresponseandthepostevaluationofriskmallagement1rIlefivesubsystemsaremutuallyindependentandorganicallyintegrated