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1、1本科畢業(yè)論文外文翻譯本科畢業(yè)論文外文翻譯外文題目:外文題目:ServicesPolicyRefmEconomicGrowthinTransitionEconomies出處:處:TheKielInstitute作者:者:FelixEschenbachBernardHoekman原文:文:ServicesPolicyRefmEconomicGrowthTransitionEconomiesFelixEschenbachBernardHoe
2、kmanAbstractMajchangeshaveoccurredinthestructureoffmercentrallyplannedeconomiesincludingasharpriseintheshareofservicesinGDPemploymentinternationaltransactions.Howeverlargedifferencesexistacrosstransitioneconomieswithresp
3、ecttoservicesintensityservicespolicyrefms.WefindthatrefmsinpoliciestowardfinancialinfrastructureservicesincludingtelecommunicationspowertransptarehighlycrelatedwithinwardFDI.Controllingfregressscommonlyusedinthegrowthlit
4、eraturewefindthatmeasuresofservicespolicyrefmarestatisticallysignificantexplanatyvariablesfthepost1990economicperfmanceoftransitioneconomies.Thesefindingssuggestservicespoliciesshouldbeconsideredmegenerallyinempiricalana
5、lysesofeconomicgrowth.1.IntroductionOneofthestylizedfactsofeconomicdevelopmentisthattheshareofservicesinGDPemploymentrisesaspercapitaincomesincrease(FrancoisReinert1996).Thisreflectsincreasingspecializationexchangeofserv
6、icesthroughthemarket(“outsourcing”)—withanassociatedincreaseinvarietyqualitythatmayraiseproductivityoffirmswelfareoffinalconsumersinturnincreasingdemfservices.Italsoreflectsthelimited3Thereisalsoadistinctpatterninlabprod
7、uctivityperfmance.TheCEESouthEastEuropean(SEE)Balticstatesregisteranincreaseinproductivitybothoverallwithinservices(broadlydefinedtoincludegovernment).Converselyfthoseothercountrieswheredataisavailabletherehasbeenadeclin
8、einthemeasuredvalueofservicesoutputperemployee.Thesecountriesalsohavenotincreasedtheiroveralllabproductivityperfmanceinthelastdecade.NotewthyistheperfmanceoftheBalticcountrieswherelabproductivityinservicesoutpacedtheprod
9、uctivityincreaseinothersectsoftheeconomy.ConvergencewithrespecttohighincomeOECDcountriesintermsofproductivitylevelsisstillfarfrombeingachievedhowever.3.ServicesRefmsGrowthPerfmanceThefgoingsnapshotoftrendsintheshareofser
10、vicesinGDPemploymentoutputperwkertradeFDIrevealbothsubstantialconvergencetowardEuropeancountriesbutalsoadistinctdifferencebetweenCentralEuropeanBalticstatesCentralAsianCIS(CommonwealthofIndependentStates)economies.Givent
11、hattradeFDIinservicescanbeexpectedtobeassociatedwiththeacquisitionofnewtechnologieshigherservicestardsmeeffectivedeliverythesedifferencesshouldhelpexplaintheobservedhigherlabproductivityperfmanceinservicesinthefmer.Thequ
12、estionexpledintherestofthispaperiswhethertheseservicesdevelopmentsaredeterminantsoftheaggregategrowthperfmanceofcountries.Theservicesoutcomevariablesareofcourseendogenousinfluencedbythepolicystancesofgovernmentssothatthe
13、focusisontheimpactofservicespolicyrefms.Whilesignificantprogresshasbeenmadebymanytransitioneconomiesinservicesrefmsthereisalsosubstantialcrosscountryheterogeneityintermsofliberalizationthequalityoftheregulatyframewkfkey“
14、backbone”services.DifferencesinpolicyrefmsarereflectedbydifferencesinFDIinservices.ThisisconfirmedbythecrelationcoefficientsintheAppendixTableA1relatinginvestmentclimatethecombinedservicesectrefmvariablestothestockofFDIa
15、sashareofGDP.ThehighercoefficientftheservicesrefmvariablerelativetotheinvestmentclimateindicatissuggestiveoftheimptantroleservicerelatedpoliciesmayplayinattractingFDI.Thegoalofthispaperistoinvestigatewhetherrefmshavehada
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