基于風(fēng)險(xiǎn)傳導(dǎo)的區(qū)域金融政策風(fēng)險(xiǎn)柔性管理研究.pdf

1、武漢理工大學(xué)博士學(xué)位論文基于風(fēng)險(xiǎn)傳導(dǎo)的區(qū)域金融政策風(fēng)險(xiǎn)柔性管理研究姓名：孫命申請(qǐng)學(xué)位級(jí)別：博士專(zhuān)業(yè)：管理科學(xué)與工程指導(dǎo)教師：鄧明然20100401AbstractUndertheinfluenceoftheglobalfinancialcrisis，therapideconomicdevelopmentofourcountryslowsTheimplementationeffectofthefinancialpolicyisexperi

2、encingthetremendoustestincrisisHowtoeffectivelyguardagainsttheimplementriskofthefinancialpolicyandprovidemaximumsupportfordomesticeconomicdevelopment，isthekeythingthatfacingthefinancialpolicymakersDuetotheeconomicfeature

3、sofpowers，duingtheimplementationprocessoffinancialpolicyChina’Sgovernersfacetheproblems，suchasthetoobigmanagementrange，andthelowermanagementefficiencywhichcouldledtothetransmissionoftheriskThisdissertationtriestoestablis

4、htheregionalfinancialpolicyriskflexiblemanagementmodelbasedontheperspectiveofregionalmanagementandthepathofriskconduction，inordertoad印ttotherequirementoftheobjectiveconditionsChapter1introducesthepurpose，thesignificancea

5、ndthemethodsThenitdecidestheframeworkofthedissertationbyresearchingtherelatedliteratureathomeandabroadChapter2analyzestheimplementationeffectofthedomesticandforeignfinancialpolicyFirstlyitanalyzestheinfluenceofvariousfor

6、eignfinancialcrisis，andfindoutthecoinlTlonfeaturesThenitanalyzesthefinancialpolicyimplementationinChinaChapter3constructsthetheorymodeloftheregionfinancialpolicyriskfleiblemanagement，whichistheopen，dynamic，organicunitedm

7、odel，accordingtotheriskconductionpathoftheregionfinancialpolicyandtheprinciplesofregiondifferences，flexibilitymanagementrange，andharmonizationChapter4，throughtheVARmodeltesting，amendstheprevioustheoreticalmodelstructureT

8、hroughthecollationofeconomicdatafromthedifferentregions，itconstuctsaVARmodel，andputsthroughtheimpulsetest，Grangercorrelationtest，andtheforecastvariancetestTheresultsshowthattheimpactsofdifferentfinancialpoliciesononeregi

9、onandthesamepolicyperformanceineachregionaresignificantdifferencesChapter5establishsaregionfinancialpolicyriskevaluationindexsystemBasedonthestructuralequationmodelingmethod，theindexsystemisincludingthemacrowarningindexs