西部地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的脆弱性與優(yōu)化調(diào)控研究.pdf

1、天津大學(xué)博士學(xué)位論文西部地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的脆弱性與優(yōu)化調(diào)控研究姓名：馮振環(huán)申請(qǐng)學(xué)位級(jí)別：博士專業(yè)：管理科學(xué)與工程指導(dǎo)教師：趙國(guó)杰20030501ABSTI認(rèn)CTThiSthesisstudiesthevulnerabilityandregulationofeconomydevelopmentinwestChinaandseeksanewwayforwestdevelopmentnlemaincontentsisfoflowing：1Fort

2、heposteriorstudythethesissummarizestherelatedaChievementbackdatesthehistoryofregionaleconomypracticeinChinasince1949，andSl加】Suptheexperiencehowothercountriesexploitedundevelopedregions2Basingonthe∞hievememofnaturesystema

3、ndhumanitiessystemtheconnotationanddefinitlonofvulnerabilityofregiohaleconomydevelopmemisputforwardThepaperalsoanalysestheconnectionbetweenvulnerabilityandsustainabledevelopment，andestablishesatheorymodeltoanalyseandeval

4、uatethevulnerabilityofregionaleconomydevelopmentfromthreeaspects，whichareintramuralinstabilitysensitivitytOthechangingofexterioreconomicconditionsandlo鼴degreecausedbythechangedexterioreconomicconditionsT11emodelisusedtos

5、tudythevulnerabilityofeconomydevelopmentinwestChina：(1)111eintramuralinstabilityisprovedbytheestimationofregionaldisparities；(2)nlecharacteristicofindustrialstructureandhierarchicalDEAefficiencyofregionalinvestment，which

6、isthateconomyincreasingowestofundsquantityandtheefficiencyisloWbutitsscalebenefitincreasesbydegrees，provesthesensitivityofregiohaleconomytothechangingofexterioreconomicconditionsinwestChinaAtthesametime，therelationbetwee

7、nindustrialstructureandhierarchicalDEAefficiencyofregionalinvestmentisexplained；(3)TheincreasinglossdegreecausedbythechangedexterioreconomicconditionsisestimatedbytheextentofcapitaloutflowandtalentdI婦11陀threeitemsshowsth

8、attheeconomydevelopmentinwestChinaiSveryvulnerable3佻thesisintroducestheoriginanddevelopmentoffractaltheorysummarizesitsmainCOntent，recommendsfractaltimeseriesineconomicsystemandHurstexponentandhowtocalculateHurstexponent

9、bv剛SanalysisFromtheintramuralinstabilityoftheeconomydevelopmentinwestChinathisthesisanalysesandforecaststhetrenddirectionofvulnerabilityandcomparesitwiththeregionaldisparitiesinsomecountries，whichusedtoreforilleconomysev

10、erelyorhavegreatregionaleconomydisparitiesTheconclusiononwhichthegovernmentmustkeepitseyes，isthevulnerabilitywillacceleratewithoutnewregionaleconomypoticⅣ4Tlleregulationofeconomydevelopmentmustbefoundedonmarketadjustinga

11、ndgovernmentcontrolandnewdevelopmentstratagemshouldaimatreducingthevulnerabilityinwestChinaFirstlysolvetheproblemofregionaldisparitiesinordertodecreasedevelopmentinstability；Optimizeindustrialstructureandheightentheeffic

12、iencyofinvestmentinorderteducethesensitivitytothechangingofexterioreconomicCOnditions；BroadenfinancingchannelandstrengthenhumancapitaldevelopmentinordertOlessentheloSSdegreecausedbycapitaloutflowandtalentdrainKeywords：Re