基于多Agent的供應(yīng)商管理庫存中需求預(yù)測的研究.pdf

1、華東交通大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文基于多Agent的供應(yīng)商管理庫存中需求預(yù)測的研究姓名：魏偉申請學(xué)位級別：碩士專業(yè)：計(jì)算機(jī)應(yīng)用技術(shù)指導(dǎo)教師：杜江洪20061026abstractIIResearchondemfecastofvendmanageinventybasedonMultiAgentABSTRACTCompetitioninthe21stCenturyisthecompetitionofthesupplychain.Inventymana

2、gementisaveryimptantaspectofsupplychainmanagement.Thispaperwillchooseanadvancedinventymanagementmodel—vendmanageinventy(VMI)todiscuss.Theenterpriseisinthefaceofthevariousproductsthefactofcustomers’demchangememe.Inthiskin

3、dofsituationtheenterprisescant’tfullygrasptheaccurateinfmation.Inthesametimeuncertaintyoftheproductshttermdemwillincreasethedifficultyofproductfcast.Soweestablishademmodelwhichcanfecastaccuratelygetaccuratefilingstock.th

4、isisacurrentlyresearchtopic.thesupplychainisacomplexwktypicallongdistanceheterogeneousdistributedsystemswhichismadeupofrawmaterialsuppliertheproducertheretailmerchantthewarehouse.TheAgenttechnologyisanimptantbreakthrough

5、intheresearchofAI.UsingAgent’sinitiativeinteractionreactivityindependencytoconstructthedistributionalsystemstructuralmodelisaneffectivemethod.AtpresenttheMASmodelingmothodbasedonAgentistheoneoftheimptantresearchmethodswh

6、ichisusedmeineconomicthemanagementsciencethebiologicalsciencesoon.ThispaperdiscussesthemothodtomodelfromthebottomtotopthemerittheadvantangeofVMI.WeusethemultispotofgeicalgithmanalysisthemanagementsystemstructureofVMIthem

7、othodoffecasttoestablishaVMImodel.Weaddthefecastmethodwhichisconstructedbygeicalgithmtothemodel.Thencomputingthefecastthefillstocktofindthebetterfecastvalue.InthismodeleveryAgentintercodinatessharestheinfmationrealizesth

8、einfmationsharingfunctioninthesupplychainbetweenthepoint.Finallywetaketheactualmarketconditionsasthebackgroundtomakeashttimesilulation，usejavatosimulateonSwarmplatfm.takingtheaverageastheappraisaltargetkeepingthechangesi

9、tuationtoconfirmshowingagain.carringonthecomparisonwiththetraditionalfecastmethod.Whenusingourmethodthedemfecastismeaccuratethantheothersitsstockchangesituationisstablenamelytheerroneousundulationissmall.Sowhensettingthe