信息技術(shù)行業(yè)上市公司評價預(yù)測四元矩陣.pdf

1、中國科學(xué)技術(shù)信息研究所碩士學(xué)位論文信息技術(shù)行業(yè)上市公司評價預(yù)測四元矩陣姓名：林海殷申請學(xué)位級別：碩士專業(yè)：情報學(xué)指導(dǎo)教師：武夷山2002.8.1EvaluationandForecastMatrixforListingCompaniesininformationtechnologyindustryAbstractTheaimofthisthesisisteduceuncertaintyintheevaluationoflistingco

2、mpaniesininformationtechnologyindustryRevenueforecastismostuncertaininvariousevaluationpracticesThisthesisprobesintothemethodsconcerningtherevenueforecastforlistingcompaniesininformationtechnologyindustryToexpoundtherule

3、sintherevenueforecastoflistingcompaniesininformationtechnologyindustrythisthesiscombinesthegeneralindustrialorganizationtheoryandmarketstrategytheorywiththetechno—economiccharacteristicsofinformationtechnologyindustryThu

4、sitrevealstherelationshipamong，industry’Sorganizationstructure，company’ScompetitivebehaviorandtherevenuepeculiartoinformationtechnologyindustryInordertocombinetheconclusionoftheoryanalysiswiththepracticeofrevenueforecast

5、。theauthortakestheessentialdrivingfactorsofrevenue、namelytheoverallmarketsizethecompany’Smarketshares，itsprofitrateanditScompetitionstrategyaswellasitsgrowthstrategyasbasisandbuildsamatrixfortherevenueforecast腸eadvantage

6、ofthisforecastmatrixliesinitssynthesizingofthreemajorfactorsnamelyindustrystructure，company’Sstrategyandmarketingperformance，andintheintegrationofbothqualitativeiudgmentandquantitativeforecastandinthecombinationofthejudg

7、memoncompany’Spresentperformancewithevaluationofthecompany’SfuturepotentialitiesItwillhelptheanalystsmorecomprehensivelyexaminevariousfactorsconstitutingtherevenueaswellastheirmutualrelationshipTakingZhongxingtongxunasan

8、example，thisthesismakesatrialanalysisovertheforecastmatrix，displayingitsqualitativeandquantitativefunctionaswellasitsapplicationprocessKeywords：valueassessment，matrix，revenueforecast，informationtechnologyindustrylistingc