中國城市增長、效率及其影響因素研究.pdf

1、天津大學博士學位論文中國城市增長、效率及其影響因素研究姓名：胡玉敏申請學位級別：博士專業(yè)：管理科學與工程指導教師：杜綱20090801ABSTRACTUrbangrowthisaworldwidephenomenon；howeverChina’Surbangrowthhasbeenmoreobviousduringthepast30yearsafterreformandopeningupTheurbanizationisintheacc

2、elerateddevelopingstageanditslevelincreasedfrom1755percentin1977tonearly43percentin2008Moreandmorepeoplehavemigrated舶mruralareatourbanUrbansprawlismorerapidthattheurbanbuilt。upareaincreasedfrom9386squarekilometersin1985t

3、o35469squarekilometersin2007，whichequalsa278％ofincreaseWhileChinasrapidgrowthofcitiesdoes，howtomaintainitssustainabledevelopmenthasmanyproblemsThispaperselectstheurbangrowthtotaketheresearchsubjecttoexplainthereasonsfort

4、hegrowthandputforwardpolicyrccommendationsforthefutureurbangrowthThepaperfollowsmanagementscienceresearchparadigmthatincludesliteraturereviewresearchdesign，dataanalysisanddataprocessingFirstlVbasedonmodelsabouturbangrowt

5、h，suchasstaticmodels，theThtanenmodelandtheAlonsoMillsMuthmodelaSwellasdynamicmodel，theCapozzamodelandtheHelsleymodel，thepaperputsforwardaurbangrowthmodelinChinathismodelcanexplainthecauseofrapidgrowthofcityinChinaSecondl

6、yaccordingtomethodsofpanelunitroot，panelcointegrationtestandspatialeconometrics，thispapermakesalloverallanalysisonfactorsaffectingurban2ro、vthTheresultsindicatethatthesequenceofurbanbuilt—upareawithGDPFDI，Investmentoffix

7、edassetsarecointegratedandGDP、FDIandInvestmentoffixedassetsarekeyfactorsaffectingurbangrowthBesides，theseeffectsexhibitspatialspilloversUsingthetwostagemethod，DEAandTOBITmodel，thispapergivesananalysisofChina’surbangrowth

8、efficiencyanditsinfluencingfactorTheresearchfindsoutthatChina’Surbangrowthisinefficientbetween1997tO2007astheaveragelevelisbelow055despitethegeneraltendencyistoincreaseItalsoshowsthattheefficiencyofgrowthineastemcitiesis