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1、原文:原文:ExptStrategicCurrencyHedgingInrecentyearsinternationalfirmshavebecomeincreasinglyawareofhowtheiroperationswouldbeaffectedbycurrencyrisksbeyondtheircontrol.Volatileexchangeratesmightdestabilizefirms’strategieseconom
2、icperfmance.Toreducetheirexchangerateriskexposuresinternationalfirmsactivelyutilizehedginginstrumentssuchasfuturesoptionsswaps.Indeedmuchofthegrowthinfinancialderivativesmarketscomesfromcpations.Mostoftheliteratureonrisk
3、aversionexchangerateuncertaintydealswithallocationhedgingdecisionsofamonopolisticperfectlycompetitivefirm.Twonotableresultshaveemanatedfromtheliterature.Firstthe‘separationtheem’statesthatthefirm’sproductiondecisionisaff
4、ectedneitherbythefirm’sattitudetowardsrisknbytheincidenceoftheexchangerateuncertaintyifthefirmhasaccesstoacurrencyfuturesmarket.Secondthe‘fullhedgingtheem’statesthatthefirmshouldeliminateallexchangerateriskbyholdingafull
5、hedgeifthecurrencyfuturesmarketisunbiased.Itgoeswithoutsayingthatmonopolyperfectcompetitionareexceptionsratherthananmintherealwld.Thepurposeofthispaperistherefetoreexaminetheoptimalityoftheseparationfullhedgingtheemsinaf
6、ramewkofimperfectcompetition.Thepaperbringstogethertheoligopolytheytheliteratureondecisionmakingunderuncertaintytowkoutthestrategiceffectsofhedgingontheequilibriumofaninternationalcduopoly.Tothisendweconsideranexptingfei
7、gnfirmthatcompeteswithahomefirminthehomemarket.Theexpterfacesanuncertainspotexchangeratefitsrevenueatthetimeofitsoutputdecision.Anunbiasedcurrencyfuturesmarketisavailablefthefeignfirmtohedgeitsexchangerateriskexposure.If
8、thehedgingdecisionismadepritotheproductiondecisionhedgingisshowntohavestrategiceffectsunderplausibleassumptionsonthepreferencesoftheexptingfeignfirm.Thisisclearlynotthefirstpapertoaddresstheissueofoligopolyexchangemarket
9、pritotheresolutionoftheexchangerateuncertainty.TheinverseindustrydemofthehomogeneousgoodattheendoftheperiodisspecifiedbyadownwardslopingfunctionP(QHQF)thatgivestheperunitsellingpricedenominatedinthehomecurrencyatthattime
10、.WeassumethattheoutputofthehomefirmQHtheexptofthefeignfirmQFarestrategicsubstitutesasdefinedbyBulowetal.(1985)sothat(QHQF)P’(QHQF)QH0和U’(∏F)0.Let’sbethespotexchangerateexpressedinunitsofthefeigncurrencyperunitofthehomecu
11、rrencyattheendoftheperiod.Sincethesellingpriceofthehomogeneousgoodisdenominatedinthehomecurrency?Scannotbeperfectlypredictedextantthefeignfirminevitablyfacesexchangerateriskexposureof?SP(QHQF)QF.Tohedgeitsexchangerateris
12、kexposurethefeignfirmcantradeinfinitelydivisiblecontractsinacurrencyfuturesmarketatthebeginningoftheperiodeachofwhichcallsfdeliveryofFunitsofthefeigncurrencyperunitofthehomecurrencyattheendoftheperiod.Sincetherearenocomm
13、issionfeesmarginrequirementscapitaloutlaystransactionsinthecurrencyfuturesmarketarecostless.Intheabsenceofbasisriskthefuturesexchangerateattheendoftheperiodconvergestothespotexchangerateatthattime?S.Tofocusonthefeignfirm
14、’shedgingmotivevisvisitsspeculativemotiveweassumethroughoutthepaperthatthecurrencyfuturesmarketisunbiasedsothatFissetequaltotheexpectedvalueoftheendofperiodspotexchangerate?S.Thefeignfirm’sromprofitattheendoftheperiod∏Fd
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